Union Pacific Corp (UNP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Best Buy Signals Oversold Rebound BubbleStart1 BubbleStart2
CollapsedBubble CollapsedBubbleRoC SMR SMRRoC Gap Up LongDonchian55 ShortDonchian55 SuperOversoldSD CBV2 CBRoCV2 CBV2Lite CBRoCV2Lite [ What are these? | Switch to UNP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.65%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 0.793. Maximum drawdown: -20.86% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 128.15%. Time in market: 1428 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2047.85 on 07 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Union Pacific

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.65%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.65%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Union Pacific Analysis

Market sector: Transportation.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
24 July 2026	Gap Up	25	95	100	88	79	48	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 June 2026	Double Seven	48	76	100	88	80	65	schedule	schedule	schedule
28 May 2026	Gap Down	30	80	100	88	80	50	schedule	schedule	schedule
11 May 2026	Double Seven	55	92	100	86	80	73	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 April 2026	Mega Dump Lite	22	93	100	86	80	44	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2026	Gap Up	22	93	100	86	80	45	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2026	Double Seven	56	94	100	86	80	74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2026	Mega Dump Lite	54	95	100	86	80	73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2026	Double Seven	44	88	100	87	83	64	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
21 January 2026	Double Seven	57	77	100	88	86	71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
24 July 2026	Gap Up	$ 305.90	25	95	100	88	79	48	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
24 April 2026	Gap Up	$ 270.79	22	93	100	86	80	45	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
13 May 2025	Gap Up	$ 229.63	37	79	100	80	84	56	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 January 2025	Gap Up	$ 248.13	26	86	100	79	85	48	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
07 November 2024	Gap Up	$ 245.93	48	92	100	74	86	67	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 October 2023	Gap Up	$ 209.66	46	96	100	83	93	67	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2023	Gap Up	$ 229.94	19	92	100	87	94	41	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 February 2023	Gap Up	$ 208.90	56	87	100	85	81	73	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
25 January 2023	Gap Up	$ 200.54	74	89	100	87	81	85	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
10 November 2020	Gap Up	$ 200.06	74	90	100	84	95	85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
19 May 2020	Gap Up	$ 158.29	48	90	100	85	95	67	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2020	Gap Up	$ 155.40	68	88	100	85	95	81	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2020	Gap Up	$ 148.20	87	91	100	88	94	93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020	Gap Up	$ 129.41	91	87	100	88	96	95	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020	Gap Up	$ 125.86	92	94	100	88	94	97	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020	Gap Up	$ 140.99	70	89	100	89	94	83	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2019	Gap Up	$ 170.84	65	71	100	92	90	74	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
09 January 2019	Gap Up	$ 145.37	91	80	100	88	94	92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2018	Gap Up	$ 156.96	45	90	100	90	91	65	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 January 2017	Gap Up	$ 99.75	72	67					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Union Pacific Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UNP) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 20 Aug 2026.