Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to KHC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -0.34%.   Win rate: 78.79%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.657.   Maximum drawdown: -64.66% on 31 May 2019.
Mean CAGR: 118.9%. Time in market: 6271 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $525.84 on 22 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kraft Heinz Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (78.79% * 8.63%) + (6.06% * 0.63%) - (15.15% * 47.42%) = -0.34%.
Wins: 26 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kraft Heinz Company Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 June 2026       Mega Dump Lite $ 22.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.717  factory0.395   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
17 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.736  factory0.475   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
26 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.566  factory0.495   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.935  factory0.661   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
29 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977  factory0.718   Mega Dump Lite $ 28.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918  factory0.665   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 29.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.891  factory0.603   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605  factory0.677   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
18 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.857  factory0.611   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.621  factory0.658   Mega Dump Lite $ 35.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.942  factory0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716  factory0.62   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987  factory0.917   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.942  factory0.904   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977  factory0.886   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831  factory0.564   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.856  factory0.624   Mega Dump Lite $ 37.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.664  factory0.696   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.854  factory0.664   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726  factory0.626   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.617  factory0.614   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.803  factory0.703   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.54  factory0.774   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.9  factory0.864   Mega Dump Lite $ 27.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.992  factory0.915   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 23.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.62  factory0.538   Mega Dump Lite $ 28.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.815  factory0.744   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.781  factory0.68   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.744  factory0.755   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791  factory0.839   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 June 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.937  factory0.917   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.537  factory0.801   Mega Dump Lite $ 30.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.78  factory0.854   Mega Dump Lite $ 30.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.652  factory0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.99 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.962  factory0.904   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 40.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
07 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.856  factory0.857   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 48.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759  factory0.497   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.57  factory0.489   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.614  factory0.491   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.33 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.917  factory0.537   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.704  factory0.585   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.877  factory0.714   Mega Dump Lite $ 69.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Kraft Heinz Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: KHC) was last updated 09 Jun 2026 07:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 08 Jun 2026.