Intuit Inc (INTU) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to INTU's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.74%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.624.   Maximum drawdown: -48.55% on 12 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 104.47%. Time in market: 2846 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2734.57 on 13 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Intuit

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 8.24%) + (4.55% * 0.28%) - (4.55% * 16.90%) = 6.74%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Intuit Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
03 August 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 96 83 96 94 69 98 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Down 58 88 96 93 73 75 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 59 90 96 93 73 77 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Mega Dump 38 72 96 93 72 56  info schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 92 86 96 93 72 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 55 74 96 93 72 70 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 52 Week Low 95 85 96 93 72 98 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 26 Week Low 91 85 96 93 72 96 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026 50 Day Low 56 74 96 93 72 70 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 44 74 96 93 72 61 schedule schedule schedule

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 June 2026 Gap Down $ 326.01 45 86 96 93 73 65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 April 2026 Gap Down $ 384.15 36 91 96 90 72 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026 Gap Down $ 463.98 66 93 96 90 76 82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026 Gap Down $ 451.30 50 75 96 91 80 66 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 January 2026 Gap Down $ 645.03 60 66 96 91 81 70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2025 Gap Down $ 726.86 61 76 96 83 74 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 February 2025 Gap Down $ 612.71 48 76 97 80 77 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2024 Gap Down $ 640.14 52 95 97 82 77 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2024 Gap Down $ 639.92 63 88 97 81 78 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2024 Gap Down $ 614.00 37 69 96 86 81 54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 March 2024 Gap Down $ 652.20 53 81 96 92 85 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2023 Gap Down $ 490.98 64 93 100 84 94 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2023 Gap Down $ 428.39 69 87 100 87 95 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 February 2023 Gap Down $ 432.26 61 87 100 87 84 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 414.12 78 89 100 86 85 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 July 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 395.50 77 93 100 83 84 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 412.82 66 95 100 81 85 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 432.95 75 95 100 91 91 88 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 January 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 601.56 55 87 100 80 92 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2021  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 676.80 51 94 100 84 92 71 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2021 Gap Down $ 552.72 41 90 100 92 93 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020 Gap Down $ 345.76 70 91 100 91 99 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2020 Gap Down $ 289.46 54 92 100 91 99 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2020 Gap Down $ 284.89 39 89 100 91 99 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020 Gap Down $ 234.41 79 92 100 91 99 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2019 Gap Down $ 280.64 55 88 100 88 98 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2019 Gap Down $ 264.65 74 91 100 88 97 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2019 Gap Down $ 248.07 46 53 100 91 98 56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018 Gap Down $ 203.90 53 92 100 87 99 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2018 Gap Down $ 202.51 42 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2016 Gap Down $ 90.23 89 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Intuit Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: INTU) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.