Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.99%.   Win rate: 85.11%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.477.   Maximum drawdown: -65.87% on 16 March 2026.
Mean CAGR: 118.53%. Time in market: 7564 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $583.33 on 10 August 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 47 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.11% * 8.20%) + (4.26% * 0.30%) - (10.64% * 37.67%) = 2.99%.
Wins: 40 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
05 August 2026 Gap Down 67 63 83 96 71 74 schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 59 86 83 95 71 75 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 79 57 83 95 74 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 60 50 83 95 74 65 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 83 55 83 95 74 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 65 53 83 95 74 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2026 Gap Up 82 60 83 95 74 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 68 85 83 95 74 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2026 Gap Down 56 85 83 95 74 73 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 70 87 84 91 74 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.38 59 86 83 95 71 75 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.18 60 50 83 95 74 65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.12 62 81 84 91 74 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.66 52 79 84 90 74 68 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
12 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.26 75 77 87 91 81 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.87 82 68 87 86 85 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 6.76 62 80 87 87 80 75 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.20 67 60 87 88 80 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.40 61 70 89 90 81 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.58 64 56 89 88 82 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
10 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.22 96 93 89 83 82 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.32 74 65 89 84 83 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.17 66 82 89 82 83 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.36 75 80 89 81 83 82 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.45 59 79 90 78 83 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 September 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.04 54 78 89 79 86 68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.32 65 69 89 78 86 73 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.30 59 84 91 75 90 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 March 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.90 50 75 91 88 89 65 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.50 71 83 100 71 95 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 September 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.97 37 90 100 77 96 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 August 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.33 29 71 100 80 96 47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.01 45 63 100 78 96 57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.97 86 70 100 79 96 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.36 76 58 100 81 96 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.00 70 65 100 81 92 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.86 77 76 100 76 85 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.60 88 91 100 75 85 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 November 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.75 84 87 100 74 85 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.98 94 93 100 73 85 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.74 75 78 100 73 85 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.24 86 79 100 72 85 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.06 88 94 100 72 85 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.89 92 97 100 75 91 97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.24 56 74 100 74 91 68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.56 76 86 100 59 84 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.95 63 82 100 59 84 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 December 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.04 61 86 100 56 84 72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 November 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.04 69 82 100 64 84 78 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 June 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.65 46 73 100 59 89 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 April 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.00 41 51 100 61 90 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.72 45 54 100 63 88 54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.92 67 76 100 62 91 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.58 70 83 100 60 88 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.16 53 79 100 63 83 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.22 64 78 100 63 85 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.50 80 77 100 59 86 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 6.62 91 95 100 59 86 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.65 69 76 100 69 76 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 April 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.51 58 22 100 83 70 49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 March 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.48 68 75 100 79 68 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.65 95 95 100 95 67 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.76 67 91 100 46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.74 79 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.44 36 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.43 62 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 September 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.81 72 48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.92 53 36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 April 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.23 62 48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.36 53 44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.74 73 67 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.88 71 93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.20 81 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 20 Aug 2026.