National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to FIZZ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.13%.   Win rate: 86.57%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.435.   Maximum drawdown: -65.69% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 147.09%. Time in market: 8824 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6005.85 on 06 July 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for National Beverage

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 67 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.57% * 8.96%) + (7.46% * 1.63%) - (5.97% * 29.32%) = 6.13%.
Wins: 58 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

National Beverage Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
04 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 49 66 94 92 74 63 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Gap Down 57 71 97 91 79 69 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Super Oversold (52) 56 71 97 91 79 69 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Gap Up 84 76 97 91 79 88 schedule schedule schedule
02 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 47 72 97 91 79 63 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 52 Week Low 21 49 97 91 79 36 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 26 Week Low 23 49 97 91 79 38 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 33 53 97 91 79 47 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 50 Day Low 45 53 97 91 79 56 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Gap Down 30 81 97 89 77 51 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.46 49 66 94 92 74 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.12 47 72 97 91 79 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 34.38 37 81 97 85 73 57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
13 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 35.26 52 80 100 85 76 68 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 January 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 34.02 55 77 100 86 78 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 32.26 68 72 100 85 76 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 November 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 32.85 71 76 100 88 77 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
14 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 36.12 69 72 95 77 69 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 September 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 39.82 59 75 95 78 60 71 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 July 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.52 57 67 95 77 61 68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.44 63 69 95 79 63 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
10 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.76 76 66 96 74 68 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
04 February 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.60 53 81 96 75 68 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.72 63 79 96 81 69 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
16 August 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.94 38 68 96 63 72 53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.00 41 85 96 71 74 59 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 May 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.52 55 55 96 81 78 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.50 49 80 96 65 75 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.95 49 90 96 82 75 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.48 56 77 96 60 76 67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 January 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.66 67 82 96 62 78 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 October 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.12 55 88 96 75 82 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 September 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.02 25 90 96 76 84 46 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 June 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.80 49 66 96 76 84 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 January 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.69 73 74 89 75 46 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.64 87 91 88 73 48 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.94 80 81 88 74 49 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.47 86 95 88 72 49 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.92 82 80 88 71 50 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.52 76 97 88 71 48 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.18 80 87 88 77 55 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 39.93 79 88 88 66 49 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 44.98 54 82 88 64 47 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.41 57 82 88 60 47 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 52.62 50 83 89 64 49 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 52.78 57 69 89 75 49 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 44.76 63 79 89 55 51 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.28 57 60 89 60 55 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.06 47 64 88 65 55 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.58 62 67 88 65 61 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.98 51 75 88 61 62 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.94 39 61 87 64 63 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.08 64 54 87 68 69 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 December 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.55 65 78 87 64 77 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.87 67 82 84 63 72 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.67 56 91 100 65 84 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 39.67 64 86 100 66 81 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 August 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.56 42 79 100 66 79 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.82 81 91 100 64 80 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.14 94 97 100 67 77 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.38 60 73 100 66 71 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.67 48 66 100 65 71 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 27.26 65 66 100 62 69 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 November 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 22.64 62 85 100 78 78 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 22.00 72 69 100 82 81 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 August 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 20.13 84 84 100 82 76 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 20.90 67 54 100 84 73 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 22.02 72 67 100 83 71 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 26.32 62 51 100 83 70 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 27.02 60 42 100 84 72 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 March 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 29.91 57 43 100 76 77 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 February 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 36.98 68 57 100 71 73 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 36.57 95 95 100 70 76 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 December 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.76 49 91 100 69 75 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.88 51 61 100 68 64 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 55.84 28 73 100 44 51 45 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 July 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 51.93 29 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
30 April 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.15 49 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.61 48 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.52 31 79 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.08 61 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
15 December 2017  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.32 49 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
13 November 2017  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.65 83 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2017  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 54.00 51 54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
13 June 2017  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.62 87 40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2017  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.46 84 31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.03 70 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.74 76 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.01 90 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.34 59 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.51 56 32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.02 64 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for National Beverage Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FIZZ) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 20 Aug 2026.