Union Pacific Corp (UNP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to UNP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.51%.   Win rate: 90.54%.   Sharpe Ratio: -18.819.   Maximum drawdown: -38.41% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 86.96%. Time in market: 10723 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3583.04 on 23 January 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Union Pacific

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 74 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.54% * 8.29%) + (8.11% * 1.07%) - (1.35% * 6.54%) = 7.51%.
Wins: 67 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Union Pacific Analysis

Market sector: Transportation.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 264.49 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 245.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 257.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
21 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 226.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 234.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 224.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 231.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
14 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 233.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
07 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 247.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 242.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 245.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 249.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 235.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 220.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 245.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 236.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 250.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 246.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 239.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 211.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 203.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 212.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 225.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 244.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 260.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 240.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 252.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 247.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 November 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 238.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 September 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 203.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 222.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 220.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 216.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 223.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 223.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 213.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 204.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 218.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 December 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 205.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 November 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 183.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 193.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 August 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 193.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 July 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 175.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 166.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020   cards_starHIGH     Double Seven $ 136.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 174.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 181.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2019   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 176.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 172.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 157.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 163.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 164.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 July 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 165.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 June 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 165.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 173.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 165.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 February 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 164.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 December 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 128.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 144.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 147.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 151.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 August 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 142.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 July 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 136.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 126.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 127.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 129.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 126.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 122.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 November 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 108.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 98.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 102.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 102.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 102.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 98.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 101.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 99.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 96.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 November 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 93.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 October 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 83.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 85.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 87.58 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 July 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 86.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 80.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 75.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 71.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 72.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Union Pacific Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UNP) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 08 Jun 2026.