Union Pacific Corp (UNP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to UNP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.05%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 11.285.   Maximum drawdown: -20.14% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 130.03%. Time in market: 118 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1296.72 on 20 April 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Union Pacific

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.05%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.05%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Union Pacific Analysis

Market sector: Transportation.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
24 July 2026 Gap Up 25 95 100 88 79 48 schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2026 Double Seven 48 76 100 88 80 65 schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2026 Gap Down 30 80 100 88 80 50 schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026 Double Seven 55 92 100 86 80 73 schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 22 93 100 86 80 44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2026 Gap Up 22 93 100 86 80 45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2026 Double Seven 56 94 100 86 80 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 54 95 100 86 80 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2026 Double Seven 44 88 100 87 83 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
21 January 2026 Double Seven 57 77 100 88 86 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 216.63 90 88 100 77 84 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2023 52 Week Low $ 187.14 77 93 100 89 91 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 199.05 99 93 100 83 81 100 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 139.72 84 92 100 89 94 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Union Pacific Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: UNP) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.