Under Armour Inc (UA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                          [ What are these? | Switch to UA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.38%.   Win rate: 78.95%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.595.   Maximum drawdown: -63.95% on 15 May 2020.
Mean CAGR: 139.23%. Time in market: 3521 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1776.73 on 07 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Under Armour

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 10 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (78.95% * 8.94%) + (15.79% * 4.38%) - (5.26% * 26.04%) = 6.38%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Under Armour Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
17 August 2026 Mega Dump 71 90 91 89 42 85  info schedule schedule schedule
12 August 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 75 58 91 89 42 77 schedule schedule schedule
12 August 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 54 58 91 89 42 65 schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 63 64 91 89 42 72 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 57 69 90 89 41 70 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 62 77 90 88 47 75 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 86 75 90 88 47 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 59 59 90 88 47 68 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 84 66 91 88 47 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 84 64 91 88 47 85  info schedule schedule schedule

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
17 August 2026 Mega Dump $ 5.20 71 90 91 89 42 85  info schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 5.77 84 64 91 88 47 85  info schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 4.98 92 81 91 86 47 95  info schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 September 2025 Mega Dump $ 4.79 87 76 91 80 52 89  info select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2025 Mega Dump $ 5.18 90 68 91 79 51 88  info select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025 Mega Dump $ 5.04 95 92 92 79 57 99  info select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2024 Mega Dump $ 7.08 95 78 93 73 64 93  info select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 March 2023 Mega Dump $ 8.74 89 78 76 77 32 92  info select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 6.56 96 94 74 75 33 100  info select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 7.50 99 84 73 74 34 99  info select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 8.79 97 92 73 73 32 100  info select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 9.98 91 96 72 79 37 99  info select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
19 June 2020 Mega Dump $ 8.84 97 92 65 73 47 100 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2020 Mega Dump $ 7.35 85 83 71 69 51 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 Mega Dump $ 8.50 87 95 64 69 43 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020 Mega Dump $ 12.40 79 90 51 73 24 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 18.42 92 85 26 72 4 97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 18.89 97 89 14 90 0 100 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 19.12 61 88 33 98 0 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 16.12 97 97 23 97 0 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 December 2017 Mega Dump $ 12.28 62 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2017 Mega Dump $ 10.78 76 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2017 Mega Dump $ 17.56 72 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2017 Mega Dump $ 18.80 83 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 December 2016 Mega Dump $ 29.11 72 95 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 November 2016 Mega Dump $ 25.96 88 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Under Armour Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: UA) was last updated 18 Aug 2026 07:22. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 17 Aug 2026.