Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to NWN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.84%.   Win rate: 74.07%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.499.   Maximum drawdown: -41.84% on 21 January 2021.
Mean CAGR: 53.47%. Time in market: 12301 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1074.59 on 15 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Northwest Natural

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 54 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (74.07% * 8.08%) + (12.96% * 1.91%) - (12.96% * 26.20%) = 2.84%.
Wins: 40 Breakevens: 7 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Northwest Natural Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 June 2026   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 48.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2026   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 53.19 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 March 2026   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 52.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 February 2026   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 50.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 January 2026   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 46.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 December 2025   cards_starMEDIUM    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 46.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
14 November 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 48.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 October 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 44.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 41.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 July 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 41.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 May 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 41.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 43.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 March 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 41.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 February 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesHIGH   Double Seven $ 41.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 January 2025   cards_starLOW    electrical_servicesLOW   Double Seven $ 39.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 38.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 39.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 38.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 August 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 49.76 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 July 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.99 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 June 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.85 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 50.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 54.05 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 August 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 July 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 53.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 June 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 May 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 53.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 April 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 55.78 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 March 2021   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 March 2020   cards_starHIGH     Double Seven $ 52.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2020   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 73.54 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 January 2020   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 70.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 November 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 64.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 October 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 68.43 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 September 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 70.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 August 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 68.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
09 July 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 68.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
07 June 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 66.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
06 May 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 66.62 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
02 April 2019   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 62.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 March 2019   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 62.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 December 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 57.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 November 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 64.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 65.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 65.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 August 2018   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 61.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 July 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 60.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 January 2018   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 54.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 63.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 61.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 September 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 59.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 August 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 60.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 July 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 57.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 June 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 56.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 May 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 54.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 54.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 March 2017   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 53.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 January 2017   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 53.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2016   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 54.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2016   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 48.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 51.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 53.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 57.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 52.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 May 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 50.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 April 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 45.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 44.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 45.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2016   LOW     Double Seven $ 43.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2015   LOW     Double Seven $ 42.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2015   LOW     Double Seven $ 41.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Northwest Natural Holding Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: NWN) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 08 Jun 2026.