Nike Inc (NKE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NKE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 0.06%.   Win rate: 78.57%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.794.   Maximum drawdown: -52.71% on 07 April 2026.
Mean CAGR: 129.35%. Time in market: 2840 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $738.50 on 06 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nike

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (78.57% * 9.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (21.43% * 35.38%) = 0.06%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Nike Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.86 26 Week Low $ 43.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
06 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.911 26 Week Low $ 57.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.788 26 Week Low $ 58.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
21 March 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.974 26 Week Low $ 67.26 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
16 January 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.996 26 Week Low $ 71.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 August 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.9 26 Week Low $ 71.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 June 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.99 26 Week Low $ 76.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.931 26 Week Low $ 91.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 September 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.963 26 Week Low $ 89.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.758 26 Week Low $ 100.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 June 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.979 26 Week Low $ 102.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default
21 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.975 26 Week Low $ 101.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.997 26 Week Low $ 105.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.961 26 Week Low $ 114.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.932 26 Week Low $ 138.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.929 26 Week Low $ 144.10 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 June 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.915 26 Week Low $ 127.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.991 26 Week Low $ 82.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.925 26 Week Low $ 69.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 October 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.928 26 Week Low $ 49.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.957 26 Week Low $ 49.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Nike Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: NKE) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:47. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.