New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to NJR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.34%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.763.   Maximum drawdown: -42.68% on 24 September 2020.
Mean CAGR: 93.15%. Time in market: 6175 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2553.16 on 17 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for New Jersey Resources

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 35 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 8.38%) + (17.14% * 1.72%) - (2.86% * 23.06%) = 6.34%.
Wins: 28 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

New Jersey Resources Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
12 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 73 69 96 80 56 79 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026 Gap Down 69 77 96 80 56 79 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026 Double Seven 64 85 96 80 61 78 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026 Double Seven 62 93 96 79 61 78 schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026 Double Seven 53 88 96 78 61 70 schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2026 Double Seven 49 88 96 78 67 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2025 Gap Down 83 81 96 79 73 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2025 Double Bottom 88 76 96 79 73 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite 76 81 96 79 71 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2025 Double Seven 68 78 96 79 71 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.03 73 69 96 80 56 79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.16 76 81 96 79 71 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.28 58 93 97 67 68 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.43 79 78 96 66 71 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.43 75 97 97 61 75 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.33 76 90 97 50 77 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.09 84 89 97 45 81 86 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.74 89 93 97 59 84 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 July 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.54 63 87 96 68 86 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.69 70 81 97 70 86 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.84 86 91 97 73 87 92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 November 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.94 90 92 90 67 60 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.49 97 90 90 65 57 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.51 88 89 89 64 58 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.84 92 89 89 68 58 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.31 89 96 88 71 64 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.20 67 90 89 77 66 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 35.00 78 94 89 79 76 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.02 64 88 100 65 89 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 July 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.22 76 85 100 72 91 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 January 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 34.16 75 76 100 67 95 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.49 85 90 100 68 93 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.84 79 96 100 70 88 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.19 80 94 100 72 87 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.28 89 95 100 71 85 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.30 77 88 100 70 87 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 34.78 88 89 100 68 88 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.48 94 91 100 70 87 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 37.32 83 91 100 72 81 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.31 73 87 100 78 86 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.15 63 69 100 82 85 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.62 71 96 100 82 85 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.92 81 87 100 79 88 88 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.50 96 93 100 78 90 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 June 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.74 75 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 35.90 84 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.29 75 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.76 81 92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.01 82 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.60 79 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.80 70 47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for New Jersey Resources Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: NJR) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.