Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MSI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.71%.   Win rate: 91.30%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.129.   Maximum drawdown: -27.02% on 01 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 134.51%. Time in market: 2275 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3497.35 on 04 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Motorola Solutions

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.30% * 9.38%) + (8.70% * 1.68%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.71%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Motorola Solutions Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.739   Mega Dump Lite $ 400.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.682   Mega Dump Lite $ 435.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.798   Mega Dump Lite $ 364.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.267   Mega Dump Lite $ 392.88 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.978   Mega Dump Lite $ 405.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.953   Mega Dump Lite $ 436.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.909   Mega Dump Lite $ 428.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.865   Mega Dump Lite $ 465.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967   Mega Dump Lite $ 234.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.905   Mega Dump Lite $ 204.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.962   Mega Dump Lite $ 211.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965   Mega Dump Lite $ 219.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908   Mega Dump Lite $ 231.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.789   Mega Dump Lite $ 165.83 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.838   Mega Dump Lite $ 142.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 July 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.81   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 157.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.837   Mega Dump Lite $ 141.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.998   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.775   Mega Dump Lite $ 173.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.738   Mega Dump Lite $ 163.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.783   Mega Dump Lite $ 174.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.567   Mega Dump Lite $ 164.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 January 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.73   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 110.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.867   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.601   Mega Dump Lite $ 80.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.847   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.873   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.959   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.997   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Motorola Solutions Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MSI) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 15 May 2026.