McDonalds Corp (MCD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MCD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.63%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.631.   Maximum drawdown: 33.20% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 66.23%. Time in market: 1681 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1669.61 on 13 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for McDonalds

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 11 March 2024 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 5.63%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.63%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

McDonalds Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 October 2025   25 $ 297.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 June 2025   25 $ 294.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule
10 January 2025   50 $ 284.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 November 2024   40 $ 290.36 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 July 2024   25 $ 248.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2024   25 $ 261.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2024   25 $ 265.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 March 2024   25 $ 282.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2023   50 $ 270.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 August 2023   50 $ 276.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2023   20 $ 252.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 September 2022   40 $ 249.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 February 2022   55 $ 243.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   20 $ 205.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2021  bubble_chart   20 $ 206.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 December 2020  bubble_chart   20 $ 212.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020  bubble_chart   85 $ 186.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2019  bubble_chart   25 $ 198.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2019  bubble_chart   25 $ 204.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2018  bubble_chart   60 $ 148.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018  bubble_chart   25 $ 156.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2016   -1 $ 103.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2016   -1 $ 105.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2016   -1 $ 109.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for McDonalds Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: MCD) was last updated 19 Mar 2026 14:12. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 18 Mar 2026.