Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to MAIN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.73%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 7.056.   Maximum drawdown: -50.36% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 169.28%. Time in market: 223 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1408.32 on 04 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Main Street Capital

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.73%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.73%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Main Street Capital Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 41 62 94 87 66 56 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 52 Week Low 34 62 94 87 66 50 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 26 Week Low 30 62 94 87 66 47 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 50 Day Low 33 57 94 87 66 48 schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2026 Rate of Change 48 76 94 87 66 64 schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 41 90 94 87 66 62 schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026 Super Oversold (26) 59 90 94 85 66 76 schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026 52 Week Low 37 87 94 85 66 58 schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026 26 Week Low 52 87 94 85 66 70 schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 35 87 94 85 66 56 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 June 2026 52 Week Low $ 50.01 34 62 94 87 66 50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 51.70 37 87 94 85 66 58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 34.86 97 96 100 66 56 100 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2022 52 Week Low $ 35.22 94 93 100 71 58 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022 52 Week Low $ 38.39 96 91 100 75 60 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 32.35 82 82 100 64 84 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018 52 Week Low $ 29.24 99 98 100 81 88 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Main Street Capital Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: MAIN) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.