Kohls Corp (KSS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to KSS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.86%.   Win rate: 86.05%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.379.   Maximum drawdown: -83.05% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 178.03%. Time in market: 6070 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $306.81 on 18 May 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kohls

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 43 signal(s) occurring before 31 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.05% * 11.31%) + (0% * 0%) - (13.95% * 49.27%) = 2.86%.
Wins: 37 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kohls Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 57 70 89 88 34 70 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Down 46 77 89 88 44 64 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 60 66 91 88 47 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 41 75 91 88 44 60 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 83 87 91 88 44 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 84 85 91 88 44 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 90 89 91 87 43 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 53 85 91 84 43 71 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 88 85 91 84 43 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 72 87 91 85 43 85 schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 14.76 84 85 91 88 44 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 13.58 72 77 91 84 42 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 12.61 82 82 91 84 42 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 23.21 86 75 91 86 57 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 August 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 15.82 92 67 91 75 47 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 July 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 13.15 80 63 92 75 49 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 May 2025 Gap Up $ 8.04 89 48 92 75 51 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025 Gap Up $ 7.90 85 54 93 75 55 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2025 Gap Up $ 7.40 95 86 93 75 54 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025 Gap Up $ 6.88 97 81 93 73 54 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2024 Gap Up $ 20.26 71 76 93 71 65 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 May 2024 Gap Up $ 26.30 43 50 98 76 75 53 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 December 2023 Gap Up $ 25.60 90 88 100 66 79 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 June 2023 Gap Up $ 22.50 74 86 100 74 84 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 May 2023 Gap Up $ 18.86 89 81 100 75 85 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2023 Gap Up $ 23.22 90 71 100 78 74 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 30.49 81 88 100 71 54 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 27.70 91 93 100 71 54 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 45.42 55 76 100 69 53 69 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 April 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 60.65 60 73 100 72 58 71 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 January 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 62.50 58 71 100 82 74 70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 51.81 35 82 100 77 79 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 59.54 53 87 100 80 80 70 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 55.66 76 57 100 74 90 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 December 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 37.62 91 87 100 75 93 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 33.12 92 89 100 75 93 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2020 Gap Up $ 27.39 97 89 100 75 91 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2020 Gap Up $ 25.98 96 88 100 75 91 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 July 2020 Gap Up $ 22.20 86 86 100 78 87 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 July 2020 Gap Up $ 21.33 89 86 100 78 87 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2020 Gap Up $ 24.02 87 89 100 78 88 92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2020 Gap Up $ 22.14 91 83 100 78 88 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020 Gap Up $ 27.32 90 77 100 77 88 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2020 Gap Up $ 28.59 87 78 100 77 88 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 May 2020 Gap Up $ 21.32 85 79 100 76 89 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2020 Gap Up $ 21.42 86 83 100 76 89 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2020 Gap Up $ 17.96 89 79 100 74 89 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2020 Gap Up $ 18.98 93 76 100 74 89 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2020 Gap Up $ 20.48 96 82 100 74 89 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2020 Gap Up $ 17.40 95 92 100 74 89 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020 Gap Up $ 19.60 96 91 100 75 87 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2020 Gap Up $ 19.40 97 93 100 76 87 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020 Gap Up $ 17.74 97 93 100 76 87 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 Gap Up $ 16.83 97 95 100 76 87 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020 Gap Up $ 17.16 98 90 100 76 91 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2020 Gap Up $ 18.18 98 92 100 76 91 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020 Gap Up $ 17.54 98 90 100 76 91 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 Gap Up $ 19.86 98 97 100 76 86 100 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020 Gap Up $ 28.34 82 93 100 77 86 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2019  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 68.61 56 57 100 74 76 63 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 January 2018  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 50.34 57 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2017 Gap Up $ 31.53 70 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2016 Gap Up $ 43.18 67 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2016 Gap Up $ 36.66 83 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Kohls Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: KSS) was last updated 10 Aug 2026 07:55. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 07 Aug 2026.