Kohls Corp (KSS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to KSS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.86%.   Win rate: 86.05%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.379.   Maximum drawdown: -83.05% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 178.03%. Time in market: 6070 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $306.81 on 18 May 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kohls

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 43 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.05% * 11.31%) + (0% * 0%) - (13.95% * 49.27%) = 2.86%.
Wins: 37 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kohls Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
08 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (46)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (60)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (41)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump   smart_toyHIGH (90)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (53)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion   smart_toyHIGH (99)    shopping_cartLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD)   smart_toyLOW (72)    shopping_cartLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 14.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 13.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 12.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 23.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 August 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 15.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 July 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 13.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 May 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 8.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 7.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2025   smart_toyHIGH (95)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 7.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (97)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 6.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (71)    shopping_cartLOW   Gap Up $ 20.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (43)     Gap Up $ 26.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 December 2023   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 25.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 22.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 May 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 18.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2023   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 23.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 30.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 27.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Up $ 45.42 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Up $ 60.65 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Up $ 62.50 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (35)     Gap Up $ 51.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Gap Up $ 59.54 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Up $ 55.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 December 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 37.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 33.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 November 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 27.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 25.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 July 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Gap Up $ 22.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 July 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 21.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 24.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2020   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 22.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 27.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 28.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 21.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Gap Up $ 21.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 17.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Gap Up $ 18.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 20.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 17.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 19.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 19.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 17.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 16.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 17.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 18.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 17.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Gap Up $ 19.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Up $ 28.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)     Gap Up $ 68.61 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 January 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Up $ 50.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2017   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Up $ 31.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (67)     Gap Up $ 43.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Gap Up $ 36.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Kohls Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: KSS) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.