Kohls Corp (KSS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to KSS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 0.07%.   Win rate: 81.82%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.738.   Maximum drawdown: -72.20% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 106.31%. Time in market: 2534 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $893.20 on 25 July 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kohls

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.82% * 8.88%) + (0% * 0%) - (18.18% * 39.60%) = 0.07%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kohls Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 57 70 89 88 34 70 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Down 46 77 89 88 44 64 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 60 66 91 88 47 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 41 75 91 88 44 60 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 83 87 91 88 44 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 84 85 91 88 44 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 90 89 91 87 43 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 53 85 91 84 43 71 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 88 85 91 84 43 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion 99 88 91 85 43 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 7.24 97 57 92 75 58 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025 52 Week Low $ 11.39 93 54 93 75 59 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2025 52 Week Low $ 13.38 77 81 93 75 59 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 14.76 83 80 93 74 61 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2024 52 Week Low $ 18.59 80 74 93 72 62 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2023 52 Week Low $ 20.37 78 75 100 76 85 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023 52 Week Low $ 23.36 47 82 100 78 74 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 December 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 24.42 88 91 100 71 52 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 26.35 98 93 100 69 51 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 36.24 93 91 100 69 52 96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 May 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 44.07 87 85 100 72 57 91 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 35.67 79 90 100 77 83 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2020 52 Week Low $ 41.84 37 83 100 76 83 56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 41.94 96 89 100 76 81 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 43.54 88 73 100 74 76 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 50.90 32 67 100 72 73 49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Kohls Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: KSS) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.