KBR Inc (KBR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to KBR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.46%.   Win rate: 95.83%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.445.   Maximum drawdown: -54.60% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 100.41%. Time in market: 3145 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3372.45 on 21 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for KBR

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.83% * 8.81%) + (4.17% * 0.43%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.46%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

KBR Analysis

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 May 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.542 Gap Down $ 37.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.791 Gap Down $ 42.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.807 Gap Down $ 40.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
25 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.693 Gap Down $ 48.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 May 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.918 Gap Down $ 53.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.91 Gap Down $ 51.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
25 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.784 Gap Down $ 49.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
23 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.823 Gap Down $ 67.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
02 November 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.862 Gap Down $ 53.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.934 Gap Down $ 47.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.528 Gap Down $ 51.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.755 Gap Down $ 51.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.607 Gap Down $ 23.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 August 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.835 Gap Down $ 22.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.633 Gap Down $ 25.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.917 Gap Down $ 20.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.984 Gap Down $ 20.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.603 Gap Down $ 29.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 August 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.526 Gap Down $ 25.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 May 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.571 Gap Down $ 22.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.714 Gap Down $ 18.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Gap Down $ 13.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.804 Gap Down $ 20.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.822 Gap Down $ 16.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.692 Gap Down $ 19.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 November 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.837 Gap Down $ 19.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.74 Gap Down $ 15.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.542 Gap Down $ 14.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 July 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.895 Gap Down $ 13.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.962 Gap Down $ 13.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.998 Gap Down $ 12.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2015   LOW     smart_toy0.735 Gap Down $ 17.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for KBR Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: KBR) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 May 2026.