International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to IBM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.35%.   Win rate: 88.24%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.106.   Maximum drawdown: -34.54% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 117.29%. Time in market: 4291 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3538.38 on 12 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for International Business Machines

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 34 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.24% * 8.29%) + (11.76% * 0.28%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.35%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

International Business Machines Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 73 82 100 87 80 82 schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026 Mega Dump 91 87 100 86 80 95 schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026 Rate of Change 96 87 100 86 80 98 schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026 Super Oversold (26) 83 82 100 86 82 89 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026 Gap Down 54 86 100 86 82 71 schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2026 26 Week Low 78 80 100 86 82 85 schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2026 52 Week Low 86 80 100 86 82 90 schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2026 50 Day Low 63 80 100 86 82 76 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 Super Oversold (MD) 83 86 100 86 82 90 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 79 86 100 86 82 87 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 234.65 73 82 100 87 80 82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 293.93 77 89 100 86 82 87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 321.48 71 77 100 86 82 80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 231.77 57 91 100 84 81 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 246.98 76 93 100 83 84 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 296.12 68 82 100 84 85 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
21 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 295.46 70 94 100 86 88 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule schedule
02 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 241.20 79 89 100 70 79 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 263.36 62 68 100 68 80 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 230.28 95 92 100 62 81 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 234.00 53 81 100 69 84 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 206.87 56 92 100 62 84 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 169.10 68 80 100 78 88 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 167.56 76 78 100 57 87 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 131.95 66 83 97 63 90 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 117.73 81 90 97 66 90 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 134.79 78 88 91 63 69 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 120.24 94 93 90 57 68 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 130.15 86 91 90 57 68 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 128.17 89 90 90 61 70 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 129.90 64 93 89 59 71 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 122.01 85 91 89 50 74 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 119.66 71 96 90 57 74 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 November 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 126.24 61 87 90 64 75 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 120.54 71 57 91 48 78 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 122.28 51 57 91 52 81 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 125.58 81 90 89 44 80 84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 112.78 73 95 86 60 83 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 128.61 75 91 84 61 76 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 124.32 86 92 84 62 77 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 120.72 87 92 85 68 78 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 111.09 93 95 80 70 82 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 131.14 75 91 66 67 71 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 129.75 63 86 71 66 75 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 137.58 70 72 64 70 69 76 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 130.24 81 96 64 70 69 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 104.25 97 97 100 89 95 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 112.72 84 90 100 92 95 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 132.51 72 85 100 95 95 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 129.48 75 88 100 96 95 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 132.04 77 81 100 91 95 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 142.72 58 89 100 90 93 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 135.78 69 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 133.31 66 38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 111.28 85 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 100.91 93 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for International Business Machines Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: IBM) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.