HubSpot Inc (HUBS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to HUBS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.96%.   Win rate: 84.62%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.094.   Maximum drawdown: -60.36% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 207.38%. Time in market: 3342 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1950.36 on 12 September 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HubSpot

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.62% * 9.69%) + (11.54% * 1.79%) - (3.85% * 11.73%) = 7.96%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HubSpot Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   LOW    factory0.934   Super Oversold (CB) $ 185.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.749  factory0.626   Super Oversold (GD) $ 191.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.749  factory0.626   Super Oversold (26) $ 191.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.749  factory0.626   Super Oversold (MD) $ 191.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.83  factory0.542   Super Oversold (MD) $ 198.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2026   LOW    factory0.942   Super Oversold (CB) $ 233.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.992  factory0.4   Super Oversold (GD) $ 254.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983  factory0.413   Super Oversold (52) $ 278.16 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.985  factory0.595   Super Oversold (MD) $ 291.89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026   LOW    factory0.942   Super Oversold (CB) $ 305.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.935  factory0.536   Super Oversold (52) $ 305.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.852  factory0.61   Super Oversold (26) $ 320.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.949  factory0.618   Super Oversold (52) $ 337.69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.949  factory0.618   Super Oversold (MD) $ 337.69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922  factory0.533   Super Oversold (MD) $ 365.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922  factory0.526   Super Oversold (26) $ 368.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
10 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.764  factory0.599   Super Oversold (GD) $ 390.65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.437  factory0.641   Super Oversold (26) $ 398.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908  factory0.724   Super Oversold (MD) $ 456.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
08 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.82  factory0.597   Super Oversold (26) $ 456.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986  factory0.698   Super Oversold (MD) $ 543.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.772  factory0.849   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 445.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.97  factory0.484   Super Oversold (26) $ 477.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.97  factory0.484   Super Oversold (GD) $ 477.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2022   LOW    factory0.936   Super Oversold (CB) $ 301.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy1  factory0.874   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 265.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy1  factory0.871   Super Oversold (MD) $ 267.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy1  factory0.871   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 267.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.993  factory0.922   Super Oversold (MD) $ 302.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.993  factory0.922   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 302.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy1  factory0.896   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 307.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.997  factory0.894   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 315.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995  factory0.855   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 348.69 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 May 2022   LOW    factory0.934   Super Oversold (CB) $ 348.69 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982  factory0.818   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 371.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.967  factory0.84   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 385.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.929  factory0.62   Super Oversold (MD) $ 401.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.994  factory0.804   Super Oversold (MD) $ 395.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.993  factory0.788   Super Oversold (MD) $ 398.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.847  factory0.55   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 468.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.847  factory0.55   Super Oversold (26) $ 468.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.959  factory0.761   Super Oversold (GD) $ 531.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969  factory0.742   Super Oversold (MD) $ 586.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.783  factory0.773   Super Oversold (GD) $ 652.70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.997  factory0.81   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 112.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.997  factory0.81   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 112.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.993  factory0.871   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 124.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.817  factory0.685   Super Oversold (26) $ 146.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.464  factory0.595   Super Oversold (MD) $ 149.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.998  factory0.808   Super Oversold (GD) $ 30.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for HubSpot Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUBS) was last updated 11 Jun 2026 07:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 08 Jun 2026.