HubSpot Inc (HUBS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HUBS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.27%. Win rate: 88.89%. Sharpe Ratio: 1.575. Maximum drawdown: -42.82% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 226.09%. Time in market: 647 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1775.03 on 11 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HubSpot

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 30 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.89% * 10.31%) + (11.11% * 0.97%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.27%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HubSpot Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
06 August 2026	Super Oversold (MD)	smart_toyLOW (67%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
28 July 2026	Gap Up	smart_toyLOW (58%) faceHIGH (100%) computerLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 July 2026	Mega Dump	smart_toyHIGH (90%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
14 July 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (48%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 July 2026	Double Bottom	smart_toyLOW (79%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (68%) faceLOW (15%) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 June 2026	Simple Mean Reversion (RoC)	smart_toyLOW (46%) faceLOW (12%) computerLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026	Simple Mean Reversion	smart_toyHIGH (97%) faceLOW (32%) computerLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2026	Mega Dump	smart_toyLOW (62%) faceLOW (5%) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 June 2026	52 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (57%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule

Simple Mean Reversion Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Simple Mean Reversion entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
23 June 2026 smart_toyHIGH (97%) faceLOW (32%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 175.37	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026 smart_toyMEDIUM (87%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 212.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
24 March 2026 smart_toyMEDIUM (84%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 247.54	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 February 2026 smart_toyHIGH (94%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 239.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 January 2026 smart_toyMEDIUM (87%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 373.78	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 November 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (85%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 394.47	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 October 2025 smart_toyHIGH (95%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 449.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
11 August 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (84%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 432.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
25 October 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (98%) faceHIGH (100%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 280.15	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (100%) faceHIGH (100%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 271.63	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 August 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (99%) faceHIGH (98%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 342.54	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (98%) faceHIGH (100%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 276.26	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (99%) faceHIGH (100%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 297.70	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (98%) faceLOW (0%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 452.44	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 March 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (96%) faceLOW (36%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 412.82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (87%) faceLOW (0%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 449.15	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2020 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (99%) faceHIGH (100%)	Simple Mean Reversion	$ 131.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for HubSpot Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUBS) was last updated 07 Aug 2026 03:19. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 06 Aug 2026.