GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to GFL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.27%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 12.506.   Maximum drawdown: -16.88% on 01 September 2020.
Mean CAGR: 120.39%. Time in market: 344 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1490.04 on 19 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for GFL Environmental

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 30 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.27%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.27%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

GFL Environmental Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (56)    factoryLOW   Gap Up $ 41.18 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (52)    factoryLOW   Gap Up $ 50.05 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (47)     Gap Up $ 38.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     Gap Up $ 27.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 December 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 27.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 27.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Up $ 21.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 21.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (71)     Gap Up $ 18.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for GFL Environmental Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: GFL) was last updated 08 Jul 2026 04:24. Data for this stock is available from 03 Mar 2020 - 07 Jul 2026.