Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 0.29%.   Win rate: 80.65%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.192.   Maximum drawdown: -69.62% on 21 May 2026.
Mean CAGR: 51.95%. Time in market: 7317 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $443.53 on 04 June 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 31 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.65% * 8.07%) + (3.23% * 0.02%) - (16.13% * 38.55%) = 0.29%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Flowers Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 76 71 78 72 56 81 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 92 67 78 72 56 88 schedule schedule schedule
09 July 2026 Gap Down 82 72 77 71 59 84 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 81 78 77 71 59 85 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 67 66 85 71 71 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 55 72 85 71 71 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 81 84 85 71 71 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026 Gap Down 58 84 85 71 71 73 schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 83 71 85 71 71 84 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026 Gap Up 60 82 85 71 71 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.32 76 71 78 72 56 81 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.66 81 78 77 71 59 85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.59 83 71 85 71 71 84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.98 70 81 85 71 71 79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.38 82 80 86 70 71 86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
23 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.04 76 64 85 71 76 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.92 75 79 86 70 80 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
25 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.62 88 77 86 72 79 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
10 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.57 85 79 86 53 80 84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.79 86 82 85 63 76 88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.14 83 69 96 67 88 82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.86 82 60 100 67 91 78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.77 65 80 100 66 91 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.48 76 88 100 65 91 83 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.90 57 80 100 65 92 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 June 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.20 72 51 100 77 94 70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.04 73 91 100 42 92 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.56 86 91 100 44 93 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.40 78 77 100 54 94 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 August 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.18 82 69 100 60 93 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.05 77 75 100 55 94 79 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.22 85 79 100 60 94 85 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.06 81 71 100 57 81 80 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.78 81 78 100 57 77 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.86 89 94 100 55 78 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.26 87 96 100 56 85 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
19 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.81 79 76 100 59 85 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.05 88 91 100 46 81 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 December 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.60 67 74 100 48 92 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.29 66 87 100 51 86 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.94 75 78 100 45 81 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.15 89 94 100 48 80 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.71 92 98 100 48 84 93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.39 97 98 100 80 81 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.55 56 85 100 82 77 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.39 56 85 100 94 80 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.23 56 76 100 94 75 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.17 68 83 100 95 75 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.30 70 48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 February 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.29 72 53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.94 77 37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 15.40 68 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 March 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 15.97 72 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.34 93 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.57 92 97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.