Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:            
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: -1.76%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Maximum drawdown: 57.10% on 24 November 2025.
Mean CAGR: 77.27%. Time in market: 1147 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $760.81 on 23 April 2024
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 07 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (80.0% * 5.68%) + (0% * 0%) - (20.0% * 31.53%) = -1.76%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 October 2025 $11.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 September 2025 $12.74 schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 August 2025 $15.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2025 $15.70 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2025 $16.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2025 $17.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 March 2025 $18.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 February 2025 $18.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 December 2024 $20.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 September 2023 $22.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 August 2023 $23.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2023 $23.82 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 May 2023 $24.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 March 2020 $19.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 14 Jan 2026 03:49. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 13 Jan 2026.