Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -7.69%.   Win rate: 60.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.906.   Maximum drawdown: -34.04% on 08 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 58.76%. Time in market: 1941 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $744.54 on 02 June 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (60.0% * 8.82%) + (0% * 0%) - (40.0% * 32.46%) = -7.69%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Flowers Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 76 71 78 72 56 81 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 92 67 78 72 56 88 schedule schedule schedule
09 July 2026 Gap Down 82 72 77 71 59 84 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 81 78 77 71 59 85 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 67 66 85 71 71 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 55 72 85 71 71 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 81 84 85 71 71 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2026 Gap Down 58 84 85 71 71 73 schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 83 71 85 71 71 84 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026 Gap Up 60 82 85 71 71 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 7.88 85 86 85 71 71 90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026 52 Week Low $ 8.24 92 85 86 70 71 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
17 February 2026 52 Week Low $ 10.00 85 45 85 71 77 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 January 2026 52 Week Low $ 10.42 95 59 87 72 82 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 November 2025 52 Week Low $ 11.88 88 72 86 71 81 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 September 2025 52 Week Low $ 12.74 97 77 86 53 76 91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 August 2025 52 Week Low $ 15.06 88 81 86 62 77 89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2025 52 Week Low $ 15.70 70 65 87 71 80 74 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2025 52 Week Low $ 16.42 89 47 96 71 87 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 17.76 77 89 96 70 88 85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 March 2025 52 Week Low $ 18.38 90 80 100 67 91 89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2025 52 Week Low $ 19.12 88 90 100 66 91 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 21.32 84 86 100 65 91 88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 September 2023 52 Week Low $ 22.17 90 70 100 54 94 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 August 2023 52 Week Low $ 23.45 82 75 100 60 94 82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2023 52 Week Low $ 23.82 69 80 100 55 94 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 May 2023 52 Week Low $ 24.38 71 69 100 57 94 74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 19.28 99 98 100 48 84 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.