Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -7.69%.   Win rate: 60.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.906.   Maximum drawdown: -34.04% on 08 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 58.76%. Time in market: 1941 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $744.54 on 02 June 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 06 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (60.0% * 8.82%) + (0% * 0%) - (40.0% * 32.46%) = -7.69%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Flowers Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 8.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 10.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 10.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 November 2025   MEDIUM     52 Week Low $ 11.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 September 2025   MEDIUM     52 Week Low $ 12.74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 August 2025   MEDIUM     52 Week Low $ 15.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.981   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 15.70 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 16.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 17.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 March 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.963   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 18.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.996   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 19.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2024   MEDIUM     52 Week Low $ 21.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 September 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH     52 Week Low $ 22.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 August 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH     52 Week Low $ 23.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH     52 Week Low $ 23.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 May 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.977   mode_heat 52 Week Low $ 24.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.976   mode_heatmode_heatmode_heat 52 Week Low $ 19.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 14 Apr 2026 11:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 13 Apr 2026.