Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to CAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.53%.   Win rate: 89.80%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.46.   Maximum drawdown: -39.34% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 137.62%. Time in market: 5622 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $7416.18 on 19 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Caterpillar Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 49 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.80% * 8.89%) + (8.16% * 0.51%) - (2.04% * 23.97%) = 7.53%.
Wins: 44 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Caterpillar Inc Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
18 August 2026 Gap Down 76 70 100 89 73 81 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 87 63 100 88 73 85 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 82 63 100 88 73 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 74 72 100 88 73 81 schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 63 73 100 88 73 74 schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 70 54 100 88 75 72 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 82 74 100 88 76 86 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 70 47 100 88 75 69 schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 56 71 100 88 76 68 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 41 77 100 88 75 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
21 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 888.73 70 54 100 88 75 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 790.66 75 76 100 85 75 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 714.73 71 81 100 85 79 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 583.45 77 78 100 85 82 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 321.24 83 72 97 77 75 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 328.79 75 82 97 74 74 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 342.96 63 66 97 75 76 70 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 396.08 56 88 97 76 76 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 366.01 65 96 97 74 77 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 386.76 60 92 97 77 77 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 337.13 75 70 97 69 79 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 329.71 69 73 97 76 79 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 336.12 65 50 97 85 84 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 340.80 68 81 97 72 81 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 253.32 65 91 97 70 83 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 240.03 69 85 97 70 85 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 222.34 79 63 97 87 89 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 218.83 85 86 97 88 81 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 180.97 85 96 92 83 66 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 191.62 87 90 92 83 66 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 185.99 86 78 92 83 66 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 179.66 95 95 92 83 64 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 223.26 81 92 91 82 65 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 212.76 87 94 91 91 71 96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 206.94 84 92 91 85 68 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 204.07 66 83 91 94 74 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 197.74 58 91 92 90 74 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 194.76 62 91 92 91 75 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 July 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 210.44 70 75 92 84 77 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 213.31 71 57 92 92 80 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 185.34 53 55 92 87 81 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 161.24 71 89 89 88 82 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 135.20 67 79 85 93 70 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 130.74 83 76 100 93 79 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 106.55 88 87 100 92 88 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 116.02 92 93 100 92 94 98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 106.62 91 97 100 91 92 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 135.30 48 72 100 91 90 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 131.06 66 86 100 91 92 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 126.07 65 60 100 92 90 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 115.04 77 91 100 92 90 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 125.40 77 64 100 93 90 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 May 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 123.61 71 56 100 94 90 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 January 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 127.60 88 81 100 90 92 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 December 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 115.76 94 97 100 91 93 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 November 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 122.15 78 82 100 92 91 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 October 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 136.54 61 83 100 92 91 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 132.23 40 80 100 94 90 59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 July 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 128.03 58 61 100 92 90 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 149.02 52 68 100 93 88 65 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 April 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 146.32 56 73 100 86 88 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 March 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 144.11 55 89 100 83 79 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 143.56 68 60 100 81 70 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 July 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 71.96 63 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 66.91 75 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 64.54 78 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 59.34 83 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 51.65 92 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2015 Mega Dump Lite $ 58.76 75 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Caterpillar Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CAT) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 20 Aug 2026.