WD-40 Company (WDFC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to WDFC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.61%.   Win rate: 80.77%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.691.   Maximum drawdown: -46.89% on 24 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 111.59%. Time in market: 4019 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1665.20 on 29 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for WD-40 Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.77% * 8.68%) + (11.54% * 3.40%) - (7.69% * 23.26%) = 5.61%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

WD-40 Company Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.809 50 Day Low $ 203.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.914 50 Day Low $ 186.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.736 50 Day Low $ 188.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.592 50 Day Low $ 208.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 July 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.716 50 Day Low $ 224.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
09 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.962 50 Day Low $ 217.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.602 50 Day Low $ 247.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 July 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.619 50 Day Low $ 217.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 May 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.663 50 Day Low $ 223.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.725 50 Day Low $ 247.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.46 50 Day Low $ 200.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.921 50 Day Low $ 174.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 July 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.972 50 Day Low $ 170.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.964 50 Day Low $ 174.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 March 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.97 50 Day Low $ 206.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.818 50 Day Low $ 220.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 October 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.771 50 Day Low $ 209.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.747 50 Day Low $ 231.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 July 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.608 50 Day Low $ 237.18 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 May 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.742 50 Day Low $ 240.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 April 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.591 50 Day Low $ 282.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 April 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.972 50 Day Low $ 157.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.783 50 Day Low $ 181.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.753 50 Day Low $ 181.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 October 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.883 50 Day Low $ 175.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.776 50 Day Low $ 160.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.608 50 Day Low $ 166.63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.712 50 Day Low $ 154.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 August 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.789 50 Day Low $ 100.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.572 50 Day Low $ 96.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.678 50 Day Low $ 97.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 January 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.918 50 Day Low $ 97.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.65 50 Day Low $ 103.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 September 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.818 50 Day Low $ 107.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 April 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.596 50 Day Low $ 94.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for WD-40 Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: WDFC) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:53. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.