Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TXRH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.26%.   Win rate: 95.45%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.696.   Maximum drawdown: -54.18% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 120.53%. Time in market: 1988 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3674.59 on 17 March 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Texas Roadhouse

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.45% * 9.03%) + (4.55% * 13.97%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.26%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Texas Roadhouse Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 64 75 100 95 77 76 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 49 54 100 94 77 59 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 25 76 100 94 77 46 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 36 76 100 94 77 56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 26 88 100 94 77 49 schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 43 90 100 93 77 64 schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 17 86 100 90 77 38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 33 81 100 90 77 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low 58 84 100 90 77 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 33 78 100 89 77 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 August 2025  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 173.39 47 55 100 82 71 58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 98.74 40 82 100 81 65 59 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 84.86 68 86 100 85 68 81 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 March 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 91.90 46 73 100 79 71 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 84.78 42 88 100 79 71 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 February 2021  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 92.66 58 59 100 85 75 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 January 2021  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 76.37 72 68 100 85 85 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 July 2020 Gap Down $ 52.92 60 81 100 88 91 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2020 Gap Down $ 58.20 53 69 100 87 91 66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2020 Gap Down $ 47.95 62 67 100 86 92 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020 Gap Down $ 42.20 80 86 100 87 93 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020 Gap Down $ 68.40 63 76 100 87 88 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2019 Gap Down $ 57.49 65 83 100 86 90 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2019 Gap Down $ 50.74 74 88 100 86 83 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2019 Gap Down $ 53.24 41 29 100 88 82 44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2019 Gap Down $ 62.38 55 64 100 81 82 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2018 Gap Down $ 59.77 62 61 100 86 78 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
31 July 2018 Gap Down $ 59.49 42 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2018 Gap Down $ 58.35 28 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018 Gap Down $ 53.70 30 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2017 Gap Down $ 39.65 43 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2017 Gap Down $ 43.91 40 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 August 2016 Gap Down $ 39.11 57 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Texas Roadhouse Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TXRH) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.