Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results 🚜

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to TSCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.92%.   Win rate: 92.68%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.262.   Maximum drawdown: -41.09% on 12 July 2017.
Mean CAGR: 130.94%. Time in market: 4362 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3675.25 on 01 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tractor Supply Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 41 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.68% * 8.53%) + (4.88% * 2.61%) - (2.44% * 4.76%) = 7.92%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tractor Supply Company Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
17 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 93 schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 58 87 100 80 69 74 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion 74 69 100 80 73 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 56 76 100 80 73 69 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 73 61 100 80 73 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 63 50 100 80 73 65 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 50 50 100 80 73 57 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion 77 53 100 80 73 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low 74 85 100 80 73 84 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart 26 Week Low 78 85 100 80 73 86 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 30.74 58 87 100 80 69 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 29.99 50 50 100 80 73 57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 31.22 60 79 100 77 73 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.31 43 79 100 77 73 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.30 45 84 100 77 77 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.12 58 59 100 79 80 65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 54.35 69 82 100 64 79 78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 52.98 43 70 100 64 76 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 49.46 60 55 100 67 77 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 49.89 93 90 100 65 79 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 52.74 66 73 100 65 80 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 February 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 54.64 66 77 100 65 80 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.88 66 88 100 75 80 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 56.80 62 86 100 66 81 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
04 November 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.85 48 87 100 60 82 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.52 61 66 100 56 82 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 52.60 65 77 100 51 82 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 June 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 54.22 54 84 100 67 83 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 December 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.14 62 92 100 48 84 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.13 74 91 100 49 85 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 June 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.99 42 78 95 60 84 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.11 92 97 83 52 49 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 37.90 76 86 83 52 49 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.14 76 88 83 52 51 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 39.49 79 94 83 52 51 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.18 81 95 83 52 55 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.04 47 76 83 47 50 60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.90 64 83 83 35 50 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.12 75 84 83 35 50 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 39.40 51 92 85 57 54 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 36.14 65 66 85 56 70 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 36.65 37 64 86 54 68 50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 32.50 48 73 86 56 68 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 29.18 63 66 85 54 72 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 25.98 50 87 83 52 67 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 30.43 53 91 82 55 68 69 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 27.89 52 91 82 56 60 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.19 94 96 88 51 66 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.36 64 75 70 55 39 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.59 60 91 73 51 45 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.67 48 74 66 57 30 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.21 69 82 63 55 17 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.58 74 81 61 84 36 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.38 94 97 61 83 45 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.50 79 92 66 85 44 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.50 37 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.27 37 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.88 61 75 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.41 60 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.89 58 28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.09 76 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.58 77 50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.31 60 52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.00 63 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.38 68 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.06 55 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.28 52 62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Tractor Supply Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: TSCO) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 02 May 2016 - 20 Aug 2026.