Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results 🚜

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to TSCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.92%.   Win rate: 92.31%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.808.   Maximum drawdown: -41.09% on 12 July 2017.
Mean CAGR: 134.77%. Time in market: 4219 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3404.59 on 18 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tractor Supply Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 39 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.31% * 8.57%) + (5.13% * 2.61%) - (2.56% * 4.76%) = 7.92%.
Wins: 36 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tractor Supply Company Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.99 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.31 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.35 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)    factoryHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)    factoryLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
04 November 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 July 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 54.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 December 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 42.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 June 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 37.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 39.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 46.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 40.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 42.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 39.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 32.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 29.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 25.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 30.43 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 27.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 16.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 18.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 18.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 January 2019   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 17.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 16.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 17.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 11.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 12.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 12.88 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 11.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 10.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2017   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 10.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 10.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 12.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (63)     Mega Dump Lite $ 14.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 12.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 13.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 16.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Tractor Supply Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: TSCO) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 02 May 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.