Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (SWBI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to SWBI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 0.50%.   Win rate: 60.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.05.   Maximum drawdown: -65.37% on 20 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 142.83%. Time in market: 7248 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $931.33 on 23 June 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Smith & Wesson Brands

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (60.0% * 11.02%) + (20.0% * 4.04%) - (20.0% * 34.62%) = 0.50%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Smith & Wesson Brands Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
21 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 51 58 74 100 41 63 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 51 69 74 100 43 66 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 84 50 74 100 43 80 schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 66 66 78 100 46 76 schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 68 55 78 100 46 73 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 72 59 78 100 46 77 schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 41 64 78 100 46 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 62 45 78 100 46 65 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 53 66 78 100 46 67 schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Bottom 62 82 78 96 46 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
21 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 15.10 51 58 74 100 41 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 15.94 66 66 78 100 46 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 January 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.92 69 51 78 97 59 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.22 71 67 77 95 58 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.37 66 75 78 98 62 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.14 70 72 75 94 39 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.06 70 66 77 94 41 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 8.70 66 60 75 99 43 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.14 95 88 78 93 46 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 9.80 73 69 79 93 49 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 February 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.54 68 80 78 95 47 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 10.08 79 83 76 95 46 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 October 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.92 59 69 77 95 49 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.59 47 62 80 95 55 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 July 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 16.40 67 79 80 94 52 80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.76 74 86 77 95 56 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 January 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.14 72 74 77 88 75 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.95 60 85 85 88 82 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.52 44 83 83 90 82 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 11.92 40 86 100 98 100 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 12.76 54 77 100 96 100 69 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 10.28 78 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 8.52 91 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 10.34 90 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 13.52 82 89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 13.66 86 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 15.31 85 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 13.92 85 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 14.83 74 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 16.64 68 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 17.59 53 75 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 17.55 66 81 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 17.94 71 85 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 20.97 62 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
31 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 24.20 61 77 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 July 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 23.64 58 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 June 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.10 41 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.97 41 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.90 57 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SWBI) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 19 Feb 2021 - 20 Aug 2026.