Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (SFM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SFM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.97%.   Win rate: 96.15%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.376.   Maximum drawdown: -37.36% on 07 March 2017.
Mean CAGR: 119.46%. Time in market: 2652 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3844.73 on 29 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sprouts Farmers Market

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.15% * 8.88%) + (0% * 0%) - (3.85% * 14.89%) = 7.97%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sprouts Farmers Market Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.55   Gap Down $ 84.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.785   Gap Down $ 81.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
15 September 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716   Gap Down $ 132.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.629   Gap Down $ 152.02 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.784   Gap Down $ 169.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.905   Gap Down $ 163.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
09 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.841   Gap Down $ 147.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.739   Gap Down $ 80.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.932   Gap Down $ 33.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.604   Gap Down $ 32.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.666   Gap Down $ 31.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977   Gap Down $ 27.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816   Gap Down $ 29.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.996   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 23.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.591   Gap Down $ 29.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 October 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.742   Gap Down $ 22.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.649   Gap Down $ 26.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.675   Gap Down $ 27.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 February 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.541   Gap Down $ 21.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.722   Gap Down $ 19.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 August 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.746   Gap Down $ 25.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.784   Gap Down $ 22.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8   Gap Down $ 18.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805   Gap Down $ 18.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.542   Gap Down $ 17.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.781   Gap Down $ 26.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
24 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759   Gap Down $ 22.96 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Gap Down $ 23.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.729   Gap Down $ 20.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.844   Gap Down $ 20.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.844   Gap Down $ 19.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.955   Gap Down $ 28.30 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.992   Gap Down $ 22.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.954   Gap Down $ 26.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SFM) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 02 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.