Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to QCOM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.02%.   Win rate: 95.65%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.274.   Maximum drawdown: -31.55% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 163.62%. Time in market: 1793 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5106.43 on 19 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Qualcomm

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.65% * 9.43%) + (4.35% * 0.08%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.02%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Qualcomm Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
04 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 84 81 96 88 68 90 schedule schedule schedule
27 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 61 88 97 87 67 77 schedule schedule schedule
16 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 58 86 96 87 70 74 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 42 87 96 87 70 62 schedule schedule schedule
02 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 73 89 96 87 70 86 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 83 74 97 87 71 87 schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 85 61 97 87 71 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 84 75 97 87 71 87 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 63 75 97 87 71 75 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 49 71 97 87 71 64 schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 195.54 83 74 97 87 71 87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 216.00 75 73 97 87 71 81 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 220.08 42 92 97 85 70 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
11 May 2026 Gap Up $ 234.77 47 91 97 85 70 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2026 Gap Up $ 196.61 19 89 97 85 70 41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2026 Gap Up $ 178.07 24 93 97 85 70 47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 April 2026 Gap Up $ 147.54 27 92 97 85 70 49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2026 Gap Up $ 153.22 25 93 97 85 70 48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 151.67 32 82 97 71 74 52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2024  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 171.50 50 89 98 64 77 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 August 2024  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 167.88 83 84 97 63 80 87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2024 Gap Up $ 180.94 47 81 97 65 82 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023 Gap Up $ 117.39 54 88 100 57 88 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2023 Gap Up $ 109.16 55 97 100 65 90 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2022 Gap Up $ 122.97 78 95 100 67 70 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 November 2022 Gap Up $ 121.96 77 95 100 69 72 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2022 Gap Up $ 120.21 77 92 100 68 72 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 April 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 142.75 83 96 100 70 77 91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 November 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 160.05 41 89 100 69 77 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
30 April 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 139.94 21 76 100 56 83 39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 November 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 145.51 64 94 100 61 83 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 July 2020 Gap Up $ 105.08 72 91 100 60 76 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2020 Gap Up $ 89.84 64 91 100 60 77 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 72.25 91 93 100 58 81 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 64.00 95 91 100 58 86 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 65.87 95 96 100 58 79 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2019  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 89.93 77 88 100 58 74 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 July 2019  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 74.83 79 68 100 65 65 80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2019 Gap Up $ 76.22 82 61 100 66 65 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2018 Gap Up $ 58.66 53 87 100 83 75 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2017 Gap Up $ 57.40 85 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2016 Gap Up $ 52.52 92 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 December 2015 Gap Up $ 43.98 68 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Qualcomm Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: QCOM) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.