Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to QCOM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.68%.   Win rate: 95.65%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.229.   Maximum drawdown: -36.00% on 24 May 2023.
Mean CAGR: 111.44%. Time in market: 2781 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3101.70 on 07 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Qualcomm

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.65% * 10.09%) + (4.35% * 0.65%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.68%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Qualcomm Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833  factory0.305   50 Day Low $ 132.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.743  factory0.438   50 Day Low $ 160.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951  factory0.77   50 Day Low $ 153.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.862  factory0.72   50 Day Low $ 159.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
25 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882  factory0.881   50 Day Low $ 177.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.856  factory0.772   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 104.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.789  factory0.475   50 Day Low $ 110.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.571  factory0.389   50 Day Low $ 113.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.679  factory0.714   50 Day Low $ 104.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.754  factory0.848   50 Day Low $ 125.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967  factory0.821   50 Day Low $ 123.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974  factory0.853   50 Day Low $ 131.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974  factory0.467   50 Day Low $ 139.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.964  factory0.612   50 Day Low $ 156.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.803  factory0.565   50 Day Low $ 165.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.553  factory0.59   50 Day Low $ 137.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.747  factory0.419   50 Day Low $ 125.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.86  factory0.605   50 Day Low $ 145.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.763  factory0.62   50 Day Low $ 82.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.649  factory0.774   50 Day Low $ 48.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.905  factory0.811   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 51.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.848  factory0.862   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 59.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.615  factory0.511   50 Day Low $ 49.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.602  factory0.581   50 Day Low $ 55.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.894  factory0.55   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 58.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.775  factory0.459   50 Day Low $ 46.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.606  factory0.455   50 Day Low $ 48.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.731  factory0.569   50 Day Low $ 56.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Qualcomm Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: QCOM) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.