Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to PAAS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.81%.   Win rate: 87.10%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.47.   Maximum drawdown: -53.29% on 21 June 2023.
Mean CAGR: 175.99%. Time in market: 4142 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1646.67 on 15 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Pan American Silver

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 31 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.10% * 9.01%) + (6.45% * 1.06%) - (6.45% * 32.67%) = 5.81%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Pan American Silver Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.963  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 47.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974  factory0.909   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 21.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.842  factory0.78   50 Day Low $ 20.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.686  factory0.502   50 Day Low $ 18.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.803  factory0.778   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 18.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.867  factory0.524   50 Day Low $ 13.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.872  factory0.759   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 13.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825  factory0.555   50 Day Low $ 14.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946  factory0.578   50 Day Low $ 14.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.873  factory0.551   50 Day Low $ 15.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.522  factory0.554   50 Day Low $ 15.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.715  factory0.778   50 Day Low $ 14.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.718  factory0.777   50 Day Low $ 18.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968  factory0.875   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 21.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965  factory0.803   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 22.95 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.936  factory0.502   50 Day Low $ 21.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.663  factory0.524   50 Day Low $ 22.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.641  factory0.612   50 Day Low $ 23.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.597  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 26.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default
16 June 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762  factory0.45   50 Day Low $ 30.48 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 October 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.731  factory0.736   50 Day Low $ 30.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.897  factory0.76   50 Day Low $ 31.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.785  factory0.889   50 Day Low $ 19.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.749  factory0.878   50 Day Low $ 10.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.421  factory0.367   50 Day Low $ 12.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.425  factory0.575   50 Day Low $ 12.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.858  factory0.77   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 13.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.796  factory0.562   50 Day Low $ 15.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 July 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.64  factory0.714   50 Day Low $ 15.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.687  factory0.447   50 Day Low $ 14.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.771  factory0.511   50 Day Low $ 16.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.561  factory0.487   50 Day Low $ 15.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.683  factory0.493   50 Day Low $ 15.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.963  factory0.672   50 Day Low $ 13.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.934  factory0.711   50 Day Low $ 14.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.572  factory0.621   50 Day Low $ 16.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Pan American Silver Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: PAAS) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.