Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to OLLI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.72%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.571.   Maximum drawdown: -23.39% on 14 March 2022.
Mean CAGR: 240.02%. Time in market: 1098 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2669.86 on 06 January 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ollies Bargain Outlet

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 30 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.72%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Ollies Bargain Outlet Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 July 2026   smart_toyHIGH (90)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 68.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 72.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (GD) $ 75.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 78.29 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 May 2026   smart_toyHIGH (93)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 81.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 May 2026   smart_toyHIGH (93)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (GD) $ 81.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026   smart_toyHIGH (93)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 83.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (74)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 93.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (67)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 97.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (57)    shopping_cartLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 102.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 December 2022   smart_toyLOW (75)     Super Oversold (26) $ 46.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Super Oversold (CB) $ 42.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 38.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 38.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Super Oversold (26) $ 42.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 44.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Super Oversold (MD) $ 44.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Super Oversold (26) $ 46.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Super Oversold (MD) $ 47.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Super Oversold (52) $ 49.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Super Oversold (26) $ 50.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Super Oversold (CB) $ 50.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Super Oversold (52) $ 50.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Super Oversold (52) $ 60.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Super Oversold (26) $ 63.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Super Oversold (RoC) $ 66.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Super Oversold (MD) $ 66.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     Super Oversold (26) $ 69.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 36.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 36.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 36.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (97)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 43.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 41.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Super Oversold (CB) $ 41.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 41.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Super Oversold (26) $ 49.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Super Oversold (26) $ 57.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 57.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 62.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 62.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: OLLI) was last updated 08 Jul 2026 04:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 07 Jul 2026.