Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) Monthly Backtest Results

The data points on this monthly chart show the results of using the 10 Month SMA Double Cross strategy on this stock. Read about this strategy here. This is a long term investment strategy designed to catch major bull runs in stocks and indices then exit before the worst of a serious drawdown. It tends to work better with securites that are prone to forming valuation bubbles. To view shorter term swing trading entry signals for this stock then go here.

Key: change_history : trade entry change_history : profitable trade exit change_history : breakeven trade exit (5% loss to 5% profit) change_history : losing trade (greater than 5% loss) show_chart : 10 month simple moving average (SMA)
Hover your mouse over the labels to view more details of each trade.
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each monthly entry signal. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows the profitability of the trade on an annualised basis.

Entry Date Exit Date Profit or Loss CAGR
02 September 2025 02 January 2026 -12.48% -33.12%
01 July 2024 02 January 2026 12.01% 7.83%
01 August 2023 01 May 2024 0.51% 0.68%
01 March 2023 01 June 2023 -4.09% -15.27%
01 August 2022 03 January 2023 -21.77% -44.12%
01 June 2020 01 March 2021 -7.23% -9.58%
01 March 2019 01 July 2019 -1.65% -4.86%
01 November 2016 02 January 2019 143.32% 50.65%
Total Return 108.62%

 

The monthly data for Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: OLLI) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.