Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to OLLI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.01%.   Win rate: 91.53%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.657.   Maximum drawdown: -62.48% on 14 March 2022.
Mean CAGR: 162.02%. Time in market: 7204 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4364.02 on 28 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ollies Bargain Outlet

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 59 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.53% * 9.21%) + (3.39% * 1.64%) - (5.08% * 29.01%) = 7.01%.
Wins: 54 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Ollies Bargain Outlet Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
03 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 71 68 94 86 51 78 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Mega Dump 90 75 95 81 51 91 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 54 75 95 81 51 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 July 2026 Rate of Change 76 75 95 81 51 83 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Gap Down 61 75 95 81 51 73 schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2026 Super Oversold (26) 86 75 95 81 51 89 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Super Oversold (52) 90 72 95 81 51 90 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 63 72 95 81 51 74 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 63 54 95 81 51 68 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 70 54 95 81 51 72 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 74.78 71 68 94 86 51 78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 74.86 70 54 95 81 51 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 79.40 64 80 95 81 50 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 89.46 45 83 95 78 49 64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 93.52 62 82 95 78 49 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 111.30 39 49 95 79 57 50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 117.38 70 48 95 79 66 69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 113.54 60 68 95 79 64 70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 126.50 70 67 95 81 66 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 125.97 77 72 95 64 62 80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 130.99 49 65 95 67 55 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 114.20 58 41 96 64 56 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 106.40 86 77 96 63 58 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 107.30 71 53 96 61 60 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 107.47 52 66 96 61 60 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 105.86 45 77 96 61 60 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 93.74 71 82 96 62 61 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 93.92 52 69 96 55 63 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 99.28 64 75 96 52 64 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 92.02 65 77 96 56 65 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 73.22 61 52 96 62 69 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 72.18 46 78 96 57 69 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 74.52 56 73 96 78 70 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 70.46 79 70 95 53 74 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 75.90 49 92 95 60 75 66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 61.41 59 75 100 67 83 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.78 51 75 100 67 83 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.13 70 79 100 73 71 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.36 71 71 100 65 42 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.24 75 92 100 62 42 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 November 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 58.74 74 87 100 60 43 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.82 88 92 100 61 41 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 57.44 94 92 100 61 41 97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 66.30 83 78 100 60 41 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 68.45 83 89 100 59 37 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.71 82 92 100 59 40 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.58 82 86 100 61 43 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.68 60 67 100 57 41 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.60 62 88 100 43 39 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.75 69 70 100 44 45 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 52.06 61 85 100 39 42 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 62.33 60 80 100 51 42 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 67.84 65 89 100 57 45 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 63.62 50 88 100 60 46 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 83.53 40 83 100 71 62 59 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 86.16 34 58 100 88 89 49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 80.74 32 73 100 84 88 51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 87.16 44 72 100 80 88 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 90.32 45 59 100 81 87 57 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 January 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 93.07 61 52 100 85 89 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 December 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 82.65 68 81 100 77 90 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 86.44 53 82 100 85 92 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 94.14 54 91 100 85 92 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 90.57 47 92 100 86 90 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 August 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 102.84 75 78 100 82 85 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 98.44 71 81 100 83 85 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 April 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 54.34 91 90 100 83 88 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 43.42 96 93 100 84 85 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 49.16 75 78 100 82 81 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 61.32 46 67 100 81 81 60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 60.11 69 72 100 81 81 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 65.99 73 84 100 80 84 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 60.42 77 84 100 84 80 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 78.80 69 87 100 84 80 81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 July 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 87.19 56 63 100 83 72 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 92.48 61 44 100 83 74 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 April 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 93.68 52 51 100 85 76 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 80.42 56 57 100 78 80 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2019  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 76.12 73 87 100 68 77 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 65.78 90 91 100 77 81 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 90.56 83 84 100 82 75 89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 October 2018  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 88.98 51 83 100 78 72 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 69.25 56 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.52 61 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.48 76 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.85 73 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.28 71 94 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.42 57 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.02 56 60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: OLLI) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.