Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to OLLI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.01%.   Win rate: 91.53%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.657.   Maximum drawdown: -62.48% on 14 March 2022.
Mean CAGR: 162.02%. Time in market: 7204 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4364.02 on 28 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ollies Bargain Outlet

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 59 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.53% * 9.21%) + (3.39% * 1.64%) - (5.08% * 29.01%) = 7.01%.
Wins: 54 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Ollies Bargain Outlet Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (70)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (64)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (45)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 89.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (62)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (39)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2026   smart_toyLOW (70)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 117.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025   smart_toyLOW (60)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (70)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 126.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (77)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.97 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (49)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 130.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (58)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (71)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (52)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (45)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (71)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (52)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2024   smart_toyLOW (64)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 99.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (65)    shopping_cartLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 73.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (46)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 74.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2024   smart_toyLOW (79)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2023   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (59)     Mega Dump Lite $ 61.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (70)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 December 2022   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 46.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 58.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 53.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Mega Dump Lite $ 57.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 66.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 July 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 68.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 46.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 50.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 43.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 46.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 62.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)     Mega Dump Lite $ 83.53 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (34)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (32)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)     Mega Dump Lite $ 87.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 90.32 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 January 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 93.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 December 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 October 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 94.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 90.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 August 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 102.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 98.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Mega Dump Lite $ 54.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 43.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 49.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)     Mega Dump Lite $ 61.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 60.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 65.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 60.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 78.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 July 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 87.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 92.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 April 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 93.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 76.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 65.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 90.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 88.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 August 2018   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 69.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2017   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 40.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2017   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 28.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2016   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 31.28 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2016   smart_toyLOW (57)     Mega Dump Lite $ 27.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 28.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: OLLI) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 30 Jun 2026.