Kelly Services Inc (KELYA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to KELYA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.76%.   Win rate: 72.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.851.   Maximum drawdown: -63.46% on 21 November 2025.
Mean CAGR: 107%. Time in market: 5444 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $757.24 on 11 May 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kelly Services

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (72.00% * 8.93%) + (16.00% * 1.38%) - (12.00% * 32.44%) = 2.76%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kelly Services Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.822  factory0.829   50 Day Low $ 8.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.916  factory0.905   50 Day Low $ 8.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.589  factory0.566   50 Day Low $ 12.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.958  factory0.825   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 12.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849  factory0.85   50 Day Low $ 12.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
12 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.438  factory0.779   50 Day Low $ 13.93 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733  factory0.696   50 Day Low $ 19.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.748  factory0.822   50 Day Low $ 20.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
11 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.857  factory0.6   50 Day Low $ 21.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.78  factory0.461   50 Day Low $ 22.38 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.929  factory0.895   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 17.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.627  factory0.823   50 Day Low $ 15.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.997  factory0.924   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 13.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.813  factory0.904   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 17.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923  factory0.896   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 17.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849  factory0.792   50 Day Low $ 19.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.621  factory0.789   50 Day Low $ 16.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.754  factory0.634   50 Day Low $ 18.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.809  factory0.56   50 Day Low $ 20.78 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 July 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.756  factory0.628   50 Day Low $ 23.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 January 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.837  factory0.527   50 Day Low $ 19.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.899  factory0.711   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 16.90 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.777  factory0.619   50 Day Low $ 20.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.778  factory0.629   50 Day Low $ 22.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.505  factory0.657   50 Day Low $ 23.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.666  factory0.825   50 Day Low $ 24.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 March 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.537  factory0.631   50 Day Low $ 21.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975  factory0.916   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 19.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826  factory0.893   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 21.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.75  factory0.741   50 Day Low $ 22.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.718  factory0.562   50 Day Low $ 25.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.801  factory0.514   50 Day Low $ 21.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.721  factory0.469   50 Day Low $ 20.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.704  factory0.637   50 Day Low $ 17.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Kelly Services Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: KELYA) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.