Kelly Services Inc (KELYA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to KELYA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.00%.   Win rate: 73.08%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.882.   Maximum drawdown: -63.46% on 21 November 2025.
Mean CAGR: 106.75%. Time in market: 5489 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $757.24 on 11 May 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kelly Services

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (73.08% * 8.93%) + (15.38% * 1.38%) - (11.54% * 32.44%) = 3.00%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kelly Services Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (62)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 8.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (71)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 8.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 12.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
04 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (91)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 12.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 12.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (73)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 13.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (56)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 19.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 20.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
11 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (47)     50 Day Low $ 21.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (47)     50 Day Low $ 22.38 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (68)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 17.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     50 Day Low $ 15.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 13.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 17.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (90)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 17.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     50 Day Low $ 19.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 16.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 18.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (40)     50 Day Low $ 20.78 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (41)     50 Day Low $ 23.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 January 2021   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 19.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 16.90 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2020   smart_toyLOW (56)     50 Day Low $ 20.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2019   smart_toyLOW (53)     50 Day Low $ 22.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (56)     50 Day Low $ 23.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (76)     50 Day Low $ 24.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 March 2019   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 21.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (95)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 19.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (79)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 21.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (34)     50 Day Low $ 22.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2018   smart_toyLOW (35)     50 Day Low $ 25.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2017   smart_toyLOW (62)     50 Day Low $ 21.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2017   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 20.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (43)     50 Day Low $ 17.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Kelly Services Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: KELYA) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.