Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -1.82%. Win rate: 76.19%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.263. Maximum drawdown: -59.71% on 04 March 2026.
Mean CAGR: 108.22%. Time in market: 4430 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $505.57 on 16 January 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.19% * 8.51%) + (4.76% * 0.14%) - (19.05% * 43.64%) = -1.82%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
03 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (56) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 4.50	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (38) account_balanceLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 4.56	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 February 2026 smart_toyLOW (45) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 6.15	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 September 2025 smart_toyLOW (63) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 6.48	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (46) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 8.06	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
05 March 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (83)	Gap Down	$ 9.02	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 December 2024 smart_toyLOW (67)	Gap Down	$ 8.90	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
28 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (47)	Gap Down	$ 12.56	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
16 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (41)	Gap Down	$ 13.28	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
17 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (46)	Gap Down	$ 11.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
04 August 2023 smart_toyLOW (24)	Gap Down	$ 12.72	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
01 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (73)	Gap Down	$ 10.79	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 11.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
13 June 2022 smart_toyLOW (78)	Gap Down	$ 11.61	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
21 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (49)	Gap Down	$ 14.96	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
17 November 2021 smart_toyLOW (51)	Gap Down	$ 17.82	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
19 July 2021 smart_toyLOW (39)	Gap Down	$ 17.16	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
19 April 2021 smart_toyLOW (19)	Gap Down	$ 16.56	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	disabled_by_default
03 March 2021 smart_toyLOW (48)	Gap Down	$ 13.91	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 January 2021 smart_toyLOW (52)	Gap Down	$ 12.95	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2020 smart_toyLOW (59)	Gap Down	$ 10.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (85) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 8.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020 smart_toyLOW (57)	Gap Down	$ 12.44	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
23 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (58)	Gap Down	$ 9.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2018 smart_toyLOW (46)	Gap Down	$ 9.53	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2017 smart_toyLOW (45)	Gap Down	$ 8.28	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 March 2017 smart_toyLOW (44)	Gap Down	$ 7.38	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2016 smart_toyLOW (65)	Gap Down	$ 8.41	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 25 Jun 2026.