Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.78%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.261.   Maximum drawdown: -59.71% on 04 March 2026.
Mean CAGR: 107.49%. Time in market: 3767 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $752.71 on 02 March 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.35%) + (15.00% * 0.72%) - (10.0% * 35.86%) = 2.78%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.508  factory0.774   50 Day Low $ 3.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.842  factory0.447   50 Day Low $ 6.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.862  factory0.899   50 Day Low $ 5.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.579  factory0.687   50 Day Low $ 6.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759  factory0.64   50 Day Low $ 7.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861  factory0.666   50 Day Low $ 7.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983  factory0.894   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 8.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
06 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.876  factory0.796   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 8.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
16 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.897  factory0.818   50 Day Low $ 8.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
22 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.636  factory0.595   50 Day Low $ 10.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.755  factory0.508   50 Day Low $ 10.70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.73  factory0.59   50 Day Low $ 11.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812  factory0.719   50 Day Low $ 12.56 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.869  factory0.854   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 11.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
07 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.843  factory0.613   50 Day Low $ 11.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.564  factory0.494   50 Day Low $ 10.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.601  factory0.815   50 Day Low $ 11.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.758  factory0.882   50 Day Low $ 11.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.916  factory0.925   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 11.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.788  factory0.832   50 Day Low $ 13.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.977  factory0.749   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 13.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.897  factory0.567   50 Day Low $ 14.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.797  factory0.677   50 Day Low $ 16.34 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.444  factory0.607   50 Day Low $ 16.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.682  factory0.551   50 Day Low $ 16.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833  factory0.599   50 Day Low $ 11.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.821  factory0.784   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 11.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.889  factory0.897   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 8.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.672  factory0.498   50 Day Low $ 7.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.801  factory0.561   50 Day Low $ 8.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.631  factory0.338   50 Day Low $ 7.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.949  factory0.707   50 Day Low $ 8.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.