Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.04%.   Win rate: 60.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.489.   Maximum drawdown: -41.12% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 55.17%. Time in market: 1278 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1170.52 on 28 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (60.0% * 8.30%) + (40.0% * 0.14%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.04%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
05 August 2026 Gap Down 67 63 83 96 71 74 schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 59 86 83 95 71 75 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 79 57 83 95 74 78 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 60 50 83 95 74 65 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 83 55 83 95 74 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 65 53 83 95 74 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2026 Gap Up 82 60 83 95 74 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 68 85 83 95 74 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2026 Gap Down 56 85 83 95 74 73 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 70 87 84 91 74 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 April 2026 52 Week Low $ 3.94 81 83 84 90 74 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2026 52 Week Low $ 5.06 85 66 86 92 81 85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 5.78 95 77 87 86 84 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 September 2025 52 Week Low $ 6.88 54 78 87 87 79 69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2025 52 Week Low $ 7.07 78 54 87 88 80 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2025 52 Week Low $ 7.22 46 68 87 90 81 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
07 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 8.20 91 92 88 83 82 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
16 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 8.90 73 83 89 81 83 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
22 October 2024 52 Week Low $ 10.14 59 59 89 79 83 66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 September 2024 52 Week Low $ 10.70 43 78 89 79 85 60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2024 52 Week Low $ 10.82 81 76 89 76 86 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 10.69 98 92 100 73 85 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022 52 Week Low $ 11.61 94 95 100 72 85 97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2022 52 Week Low $ 13.06 91 94 100 74 91 95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2022 52 Week Low $ 13.50 56 84 100 59 84 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 9.88 99 96 100 61 80 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.