Robinhood Markets Inc (HOOD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to HOOD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -9.71%.   Win rate: 64.29%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.987.   Maximum drawdown: -87.48% on 16 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 110.63%. Time in market: 3833 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $64.69 on 09 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Robinhood Markets

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (64.29% * 8.71%) + (7.14% * 0.60%) - (28.57% * 53.75%) = -9.71%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Robinhood Markets Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
04 August 2026 Mega Dump 93 62 71 95 25 90 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 51 67 70 95 32 66 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Gap Down 56 71 70 95 32 71 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 64 58 70 94 30 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 67 68 69 94 30 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 63 68 69 94 30 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 69 76 69 94 30 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 50 69 69 94 30 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 67 83 69 91 28 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 93 75 69 91 28 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 July 2026 Gap Down $ 114.34 56 71 70 95 32 71 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 88.76 46 73 69 90 28 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 77.92 38 74 69 91 40 57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 January 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 118.51 72 53 69 91 48 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 October 2025  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 140.23 72 60 64 91 45 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 August 2025  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 112.14 60 59 63 84 22 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 35.07 80 77 64 79 21 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2025  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 50.80 57 65 64 82 22 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 48.04 41 88 62 82 18 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2024  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 22.86 82 70 55 68 5 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2024  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 20.74 62 44 52 69 8 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2024  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 23.52 58 75 50 77 5 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2024  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 21.40 57 61 38 72 10 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2024  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 17.48 49 85 11 99 0 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 July 2023 Gap Down $ 12.56 45 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 10.46 89 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 10.41 70 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 June 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 8.50 86 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 11.58 66 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 11.73 68 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 14.48 45 74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 January 2022  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 17.90 42 79 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 October 2021  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 40.36 43 90 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 September 2021  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 40.66 43 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 August 2021  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 55.21 53 84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Robinhood Markets Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: HOOD) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 30 Jul 2021 - 12 Aug 2026.