National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to FIZZ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.46%.   Win rate: 76.19%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.986.   Maximum drawdown: -61.35% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 114.34%. Time in market: 3865 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2258.17 on 28 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for National Beverage

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 19 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.19% * 9.71%) + (14.29% * 1.46%) - (9.52% * 12.02%) = 6.46%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

National Beverage Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (33)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 November 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 36.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 August 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (32)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 42.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 42.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 44.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
21 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 45.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 46.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 October 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 45.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (31)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 47.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 44.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 40.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 42.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 43.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 44.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (34)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 47.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (77)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 June 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 26.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 February 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 36.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 39.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 November 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 46.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (31)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 49.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 45.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 46.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (58)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2016   smart_toyLOW (58)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for National Beverage Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FIZZ) was last updated 29 Jun 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 26 Jun 2026.