National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to FIZZ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.63%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.211.   Maximum drawdown: -58.53% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 151.48%. Time in market: 3743 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4186.60 on 28 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for National Beverage

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 9.57%) + (6.67% * 0.30%) - (6.67% * 10.18%) = 7.63%.
Wins: 26 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

National Beverage Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
13 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (57)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Super Oversold (52)   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Gap Up   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
02 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (47)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (21)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (23)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (33)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (45)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (30)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (41)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (57)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 30.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (33)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 36.43 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 33.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 June 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 43.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 40.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
06 December 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 46.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 47.31 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 June 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (34)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 45.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
16 January 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 48.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 December 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 47.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Down $ 50.14 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 41.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Down $ 46.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 July 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (33)     Gap Down $ 45.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (24)     Gap Down $ 48.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 January 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Gap Down $ 40.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Down $ 46.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Gap Down $ 42.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Down $ 39.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (37)     Gap Down $ 33.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Down $ 28.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Down $ 22.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2019   smart_toyLOW (56)     Gap Down $ 26.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Down $ 21.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 July 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Down $ 21.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Down $ 26.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Down $ 39.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 36.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 November 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 46.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 June 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (35)     Gap Down $ 53.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Gap Down $ 45.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 November 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Down $ 52.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
17 October 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Down $ 49.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 July 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Gap Down $ 48.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Down $ 43.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Down $ 41.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Down $ 22.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for National Beverage Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FIZZ) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Jul 2026.