National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to FIZZ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.56%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.275.   Maximum drawdown: -52.55% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 177.93%. Time in market: 2166 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1689.67 on 09 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for National Beverage

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 9.36%) + (33.33% * 0.96%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.56%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

National Beverage Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
04 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 49 66 94 92 74 63 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Gap Down 57 71 97 91 79 69 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026 Super Oversold (52) 56 71 97 91 79 69 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Gap Up 84 76 97 91 79 88 schedule schedule schedule
02 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 47 72 97 91 79 63 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 52 Week Low 21 49 97 91 79 36 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 26 Week Low 23 49 97 91 79 38 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 33 53 97 91 79 47 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 50 Day Low 45 53 97 91 79 56 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026 Gap Down 30 81 97 89 77 51 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026 52 Week Low $ 31.50 21 49 97 91 79 36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 December 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 32.84 79 69 100 85 76 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 October 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 36.03 56 75 95 84 72 70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 September 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 38.79 43 76 95 78 62 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 41.36 57 77 96 75 68 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
27 December 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 43.32 71 85 96 73 69 82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
25 April 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 43.96 43 72 96 65 75 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 38.90 98 95 88 72 49 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 40.02 73 90 88 66 49 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 42.14 73 81 88 64 47 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 19.52 92 96 100 67 77 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 20.31 91 82 100 82 76 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 July 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 20.82 83 58 100 84 74 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 22.31 93 71 100 83 73 90 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 26.37 44 66 100 83 70 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 April 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 28.32 44 44 100 84 72 52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 February 2019  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 35.04 48 48 100 75 77 56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2018  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 40.38 76 93 100 69 75 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for National Beverage Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FIZZ) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.