First Financial Bankshares Inc (FFIN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to FFIN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.40%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.831.   Maximum drawdown: -52.35% on 23 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 117.42%. Time in market: 5131 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1753.86 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for First Financial Bankshares

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 9.00%) + (8.33% * 0.70%) - (16.67% * 26.44%) = 2.40%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

First Financial Bankshares Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.822  factory0.392   50 Day Low $ 29.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
02 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945  factory0.58   50 Day Low $ 29.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.61  factory0.646   50 Day Low $ 30.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
30 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.71  factory0.558   50 Day Low $ 33.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.75  factory0.459   50 Day Low $ 33.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.96  factory0.731   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 32.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887  factory0.76   50 Day Low $ 36.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
07 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.76  factory0.516   50 Day Low $ 28.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.717  factory0.335   50 Day Low $ 29.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943  factory0.713   50 Day Low $ 24.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.776  factory0.586   50 Day Low $ 27.00 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 April 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532  factory0.675   50 Day Low $ 29.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.425  factory0.813   50 Day Low $ 32.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.584  factory0.799   50 Day Low $ 36.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968  factory0.829   50 Day Low $ 41.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.956  factory0.886   50 Day Low $ 40.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
31 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957  factory0.447   50 Day Low $ 44.33 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895  factory0.629   50 Day Low $ 45.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882  factory0.588   50 Day Low $ 48.81 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 September 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.786  factory0.473   50 Day Low $ 45.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
08 July 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.745  factory0.589   50 Day Low $ 47.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
22 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.598  factory0.79   50 Day Low $ 27.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.764  factory0.678   50 Day Low $ 32.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.819  factory0.685   50 Day Low $ 27.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.929  factory0.914   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 26.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.738  factory0.861   50 Day Low $ 27.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.927  factory0.576   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 21.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825  factory0.515   50 Day Low $ 18.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726  factory0.463   50 Day Low $ 19.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.86  factory0.484   50 Day Low $ 19.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.818  factory0.743   50 Day Low $ 16.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.884  factory0.81   50 Day Low $ 14.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for First Financial Bankshares Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: FFIN) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 29 May 2026.