Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ENPH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.11%.   Win rate: 91.11%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.746.   Maximum drawdown: -79.13% on 22 May 2025.
Mean CAGR: 216.85%. Time in market: 3912 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1687.46 on 11 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Enphase Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 45 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.11% * 11.10%) + (2.22% * 0.47%) - (6.67% * 75.24%) = 5.11%.
Wins: 41 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Enphase Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
24 July 2026 Mega Dump   smart_toyLOW (79)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026 Super Oversold (GD)   smart_toyLOW (57)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
20 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD)   smart_toyLOW (52)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (58)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (52)    local_gas_stationLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD)   smart_toyLOW (69)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD)   smart_toyLOW (67)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (64)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump   smart_toyLOW (28)    local_gas_stationLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (79)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 37.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (28)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 52.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (79)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 51.05 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (50)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 32.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 December 2025   smart_toyHIGH (92)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 31.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (76)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 30.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 38.43 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (71)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 32.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (70)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 40.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 40.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (94)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 46.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2024   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 73.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2024   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 84.37 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2024   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 102.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 July 2024   smart_toyHIGH (90)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 98.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 January 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 106.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump $ 108.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)    local_gas_stationHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 81.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)    local_gas_stationLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 121.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 137.77 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 June 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 181.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 158.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 February 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 208.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 January 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 241.29 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (96)    local_gas_stationHIGH   Mega Dump $ 185.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    local_gas_stationLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 167.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (97)    local_gas_stationLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 162.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 122.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 188.03 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 146.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 118.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 145.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)    local_gas_stationLOW   Mega Dump $ 172.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Mega Dump $ 61.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Mega Dump $ 52.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 38.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 26.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (99)     Mega Dump $ 20.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 October 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     Mega Dump $ 25.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Mega Dump $ 24.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (98)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 4.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump $ 4.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 September 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump $ 4.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Mega Dump $ 5.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Mega Dump $ 6.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 April 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Mega Dump $ 4.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Mega Dump $ 2.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 January 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Mega Dump $ 2.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2017   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Mega Dump $ 0.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2017   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump $ 0.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 May 2017   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Mega Dump $ 0.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2017   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump $ 1.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Mega Dump $ 1.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2017   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Mega Dump $ 1.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 January 2017   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Mega Dump $ 1.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump $ 1.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2016   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Mega Dump $ 1.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump $ 2.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 May 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Mega Dump $ 1.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Enphase Energy Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ENPH) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.