Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to ENPH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.30%. Win rate: 91.30%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.373. Maximum drawdown: -79.01% on 01 August 2025.
Mean CAGR: 189.52%. Time in market: 2227 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $414.11 on 12 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Enphase Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.30% * 10.61%) + (0% * 0%) - (8.70% * 73.46%) = 3.30%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Enphase Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
06 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (44) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 34.38	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (68) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 31.42	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (63) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 34.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (75) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 37.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2025 smart_toyHIGH (96) local_gas_stationHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 52.90	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
12 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (77) local_gas_stationHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 61.06	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
12 November 2024 smart_toyLOW (69) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 61.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2024 smart_toyLOW (48) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 101.26	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
25 June 2024 smart_toyLOW (44) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 104.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
19 April 2024 smart_toyLOW (67) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 107.92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (81) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 99.22	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (40) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 121.62	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
28 July 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (55) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 152.16	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
26 April 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (78) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 171.23	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
20 March 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (76) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 191.05	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
14 February 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (80) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 208.18	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
05 January 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (74) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 244.46	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
07 October 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (93) local_gas_stationHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 254.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022 smart_toyHIGH (90) local_gas_stationLOW sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 154.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (52) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 165.88	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (57) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 160.65	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 May 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (37) local_gas_stationLOW	50 Day Low	$ 138.40	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (71) local_gas_stationHIGH	50 Day Low	$ 153.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (95)	50 Day Low	$ 27.51	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2019 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (73)	50 Day Low	$ 20.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (56)	50 Day Low	$ 4.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2017 smart_toyLOW (60)	50 Day Low	$ 1.16	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 December 2016 smart_toyLOW (79)	50 Day Low	$ 0.96	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2016 smart_toyMEDIUM (80)	50 Day Low	$ 1.04	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2016 smart_toyLOW (55)	50 Day Low	$ 1.68	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
26 July 2016 smart_toyLOW (68)	50 Day Low	$ 1.77	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Enphase Energy Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ENPH) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.