Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to ENPH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.93%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.377.   Maximum drawdown: -79.01% on 01 August 2025.
Mean CAGR: 184.5%. Time in market: 2210 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $371.33 on 15 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Enphase Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 10.57%) + (0% * 0%) - (9.09% * 73.46%) = 2.93%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Enphase Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.927  factory0.279   50 Day Low $ 34.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.855  factory0.655   50 Day Low $ 31.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978  factory0.691   50 Day Low $ 34.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.999  factory0.727   50 Day Low $ 37.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978  factory0.699   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 52.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945  factory0.704   50 Day Low $ 61.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.955  factory0.895   50 Day Low $ 61.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.683  factory0.428   50 Day Low $ 101.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.897  factory0.427   50 Day Low $ 104.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.609  factory0.345   50 Day Low $ 107.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975  factory0.898   50 Day Low $ 99.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.948  factory0.68   50 Day Low $ 121.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 July 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.771  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 152.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 April 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.734  factory0.665   50 Day Low $ 171.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 March 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.884  factory0.857   50 Day Low $ 191.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 February 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.925  factory0.817   50 Day Low $ 208.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 January 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943  factory0.824   50 Day Low $ 244.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99  factory0.856   50 Day Low $ 254.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.953  factory0.711   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 154.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946  factory0.513   50 Day Low $ 165.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.81  factory0.465   50 Day Low $ 160.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 May 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.797  factory0.482   50 Day Low $ 138.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832  factory0.692   50 Day Low $ 153.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.984  factory0.881   50 Day Low $ 27.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957  factory0.81   50 Day Low $ 20.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965  factory0.788   50 Day Low $ 4.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.658  factory0.305   50 Day Low $ 1.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.876  factory0.68   50 Day Low $ 0.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.968  factory0.679   50 Day Low $ 1.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.758  factory0.621   50 Day Low $ 1.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 July 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.922  factory0.3   50 Day Low $ 1.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Enphase Energy Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ENPH) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.