Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ENPH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -12.83%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.489.   Maximum drawdown: -79.01% on 01 August 2025.
Mean CAGR: 33.63%. Time in market: 951 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $253.90 on 28 July 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Enphase Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.48%) + (0% * 0%) - (25.00% * 76.76%) = -12.83%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Enphase Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
30 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 62 48 88 99 53 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 49 63 88 99 53 63 schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 55 63 88 99 53 67 schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 79 76 88 99 53 87 schedule schedule schedule
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 57 76 88 99 53 72 schedule schedule schedule
20 July 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 52 54 88 99 56 62 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 58 57 88 99 58 67 schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 82 37 88 99 58 71 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 52 36 88 99 58 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (MD) 69 38 88 99 57 65 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 30.40 71 48 87 96 70 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2025 52 Week Low $ 34.16 65 53 93 93 67 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 May 2025 52 Week Low $ 37.90 83 48 94 93 70 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 52.90 98 95 94 90 71 100 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2025 52 Week Low $ 58.92 87 44 96 90 75 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 November 2024 52 Week Low $ 76.00 79 59 100 90 82 78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 October 2023  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 99.22 85 77 100 90 89 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2023  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 121.62 60 81 100 90 89 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 July 2023  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 152.16 83 62 100 92 90 82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 May 2017 52 Week Low $ 0.86 87 27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Enphase Energy Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ENPH) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.