EBay Inc (EBAY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to EBAY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.05%.   Win rate: 79.17%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.75.   Maximum drawdown: -50.76% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 91.73%. Time in market: 10080 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1453.98 on 28 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for EBay

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 48 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (79.17% * 8.97%) + (4.17% * 2.10%) - (16.67% * 24.80%) = 3.05%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 8

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

EBay Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
12 August 2026 50 Day Low 30 73 77 85 51 49 schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 41 63 77 85 51 56 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 46 68 77 85 51 61 schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 61 75 77 84 57 73 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 66 54 77 84 57 70 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 37 57 78 85 57 52 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 34 76 78 85 57 53 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 42 80 78 85 57 61 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 42 80 78 85 57 61 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 52 86 78 83 57 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 106.53 41 63 77 85 51 56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 117.06 61 75 77 84 57 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 108.73 34 76 78 85 57 53 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 91.66 59 74 78 82 61 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 87.31 43 54 78 83 66 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 84.96 70 62 79 83 69 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 84.74 80 68 79 85 71 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 93.40 73 75 79 73 67 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 September 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 91.78 72 70 78 74 57 78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 70.00 81 67 82 62 59 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 63.54 81 56 80 60 59 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 65.88 75 53 79 61 59 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 61.12 58 72 81 52 61 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.60 55 88 90 53 78 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.72 67 86 92 53 82 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.91 39 86 92 61 85 57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 August 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.08 32 70 92 67 85 49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.22 71 68 92 72 77 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.80 62 69 80 64 57 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 December 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.04 89 89 78 61 58 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.10 80 80 76 61 58 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.04 90 89 76 58 57 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.78 71 77 76 59 58 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.62 81 76 76 59 59 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.50 81 95 76 59 58 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 46.28 90 87 76 61 64 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 54.68 51 79 76 62 64 65 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 51.14 77 87 76 48 61 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 59.08 56 74 76 46 60 66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 66.52 60 84 76 43 60 70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 66.60 65 82 78 54 59 75 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 75.26 42 82 77 63 63 60 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 67.62 63 82 79 50 69 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 60.24 55 69 81 51 71 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 62.28 52 59 81 52 75 59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 55.38 38 61 81 53 71 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 December 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.08 62 81 82 52 80 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.50 55 82 78 52 71 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 56.57 52 91 74 55 73 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.02 52 90 72 58 68 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 55.97 42 82 68 65 68 59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.09 97 94 92 82 90 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.10 54 77 100 84 91 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 November 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 34.76 68 84 100 82 91 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.03 72 93 100 83 93 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.12 96 96 100 79 92 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.35 77 88 100 83 92 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.25 62 77 100 84 92 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.92 39 81 100 86 94 58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 August 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.05 32 82 100 87 92 52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 July 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 35.92 30 69 100 75 87 47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 37.22 26 74 100 78 83 45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.86 34 73 100 44 76 50 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.20 32 88 100 52 73 51 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.11 41 61 100 46 61 52 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.11 64 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.64 60 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.85 71 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.52 73 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.11 92 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.56 84 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for EBay Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: EBAY) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.