EBay Inc (EBAY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to EBAY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.36%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.024.   Maximum drawdown: -41.11% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 123.63%. Time in market: 2625 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1542.29 on 05 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for EBay

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 8.60%) + (0% * 0%) - (13.33% * 15.68%) = 5.36%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

EBay Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
12 August 2026 50 Day Low 30 73 77 85 51 49 schedule schedule schedule
11 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 41 63 77 85 51 56 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 46 68 77 85 51 61 schedule schedule schedule
10 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 61 75 77 84 57 73 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 66 54 77 84 57 70 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 37 57 78 85 57 52 schedule schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 34 76 78 85 57 53 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 42 80 78 85 57 61 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 42 80 78 85 57 61 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 52 86 78 83 57 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 106.38 62 79 78 83 57 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 February 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 86.38 58 65 78 83 64 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2025 Gap Up $ 90.46 58 82 80 69 58 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2025 Gap Up $ 67.30 55 73 79 59 59 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 February 2024 Gap Up $ 47.62 38 84 80 45 69 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2023 Gap Up $ 45.98 57 76 92 68 86 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 45.76 66 82 76 61 60 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 November 2022  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 39.77 88 85 76 61 58 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2021  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 61.70 72 43 81 53 76 64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 June 2020 Gap Up $ 48.89 65 78 72 83 79 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020 Gap Up $ 31.65 91 93 86 82 86 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 Gap Up $ 31.45 93 95 84 82 85 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 July 2019 Gap Up $ 39.41 79 72 100 87 90 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019 Gap Up $ 32.25 74 82 100 81 93 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2018 Gap Up $ 28.63 74 61 100 84 92 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 April 2018 Gap Up $ 40.86 46 73 100 44 76 58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 February 2018 Gap Up $ 43.71 31 80 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2017 Gap Up $ 31.49 78 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2016 Gap Up $ 29.46 83 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for EBay Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: EBAY) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.