CSX Corp (CSX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:            
                           
                              [ What are these? | Switch to CSX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.19%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.412.   Maximum drawdown: -38.03% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 204.59%. Time in market: 1515 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1916.05 on 30 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for CSX Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 13 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 8.23%) + (13.33% * 0.48%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.19%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

CSX Corp Analysis

Market sector: Transportation.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
24 July 2026 Gap Up 52 95 100 88 77 72 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 59 72 100 88 79 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 June 2026 Double Seven 71 75 100 88 79 80 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026 Double Seven 60 92 100 85 79 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
24 April 2026 Gap Up 42 93 100 84 81 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2026 Mega Dump Lite 43 90 100 84 81 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2026 Double Seven 50 90 100 84 81 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 54 93 100 84 83 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2026 Double Seven 52 94 100 84 84 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2026 Gap Down 35 82 100 85 84 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 July 2026 Gap Up $ 53.00 52 95 100 88 77 72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026 Gap Up $ 45.64 42 93 100 84 81 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
25 July 2025 Gap Up $ 35.57 46 76 100 74 80 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2025 Gap Up $ 30.44 48 81 100 75 83 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2024 Gap Up $ 36.10 60 93 100 70 86 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022 Gap Up $ 35.28 55 93 100 85 86 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2021 Gap Up $ 31.06 21 80 100 80 93 41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2020 Gap Up $ 29.86 76 89 100 92 99 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2020 Gap Up $ 27.16 72 92 100 93 100 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2020 Gap Up $ 22.49 53 88 100 95 100 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 May 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 21.95 64 88 100 95 100 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 20.92 76 86 100 95 100 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 20.81 89 90 100 95 99 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 20.77 89 90 100 95 99 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 18.54 92 86 100 95 100 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 16.27 92 93 100 95 99 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2019  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 26.01 50 62 100 98 99 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2018  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 19.78 55 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2017  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 16.02 83 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
20 January 2017  bubble_chart Gap Up $ 14.09 86 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for CSX Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: CSX) was last updated 21 Aug 2026 07:24. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 20 Aug 2026.